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Dignum, Frank – International Journal of Social Research Methodology, 2023
The general feeling is that no predictions can be made based on agent-based social simulations. The outcomes of social simulations are based on the behaviors of individuals and their interactions. Behavioral models are always incomplete and often, also incorrect with respect to real behavior and thus the outcomes of agent-based social simulations…
Descriptors: Prediction, Predictive Validity, Educational Policy, Policy Formation
Bloemer, William; Day, Scott; Swan, Karen – Online Learning, 2017
In this paper we argue that simply identifying gateway courses in which a large number of students fail or withdraw and focusing attention on them may not always be the best use of limited resources. No matter what we do, there will always be courses with high D/F/W rates simply because of the nature of their content and the preparation of the…
Descriptors: Courses, Success, Academic Persistence, School Holding Power
Sandholtz, Judith Haymore; Shea, Lauren M. – Journal of Teacher Education, 2012
The implementation of teaching performance assessments has prompted a range of concerns. Some educators question whether these assessments provide information beyond what university supervisors gain through their formative evaluations and classroom observations of candidates. This research examines the relationship between supervisors' predictions…
Descriptors: Performance Based Assessment, Prediction, Supervisors, Teacher Supervision
Stemler, Steven E. – Educational Psychologist, 2012
University admissions tests should predict an applicant's ability to succeed in college, but how should this success be defined and measured? The status quo has been to use 1st-year grade point average (FYGPA) as the key indicator of college success, but a review of documents such as university mission statements reveals that universities expect…
Descriptors: Evidence, Grade Point Average, Academic Achievement, College Admission
Martin, Andrew J. – School Psychology Quarterly, 2011
In the context of 7,637 high school students, the present study explored an hypothesized formulation of academic courage (defined as perseverance in the face of academic difficulty and fear) and its role in predicting academic performance (literacy and arithmetic) and various academic engagement measures (planning, task management,…
Descriptors: Structural Equation Models, Outcomes of Education, Academic Achievement, Fear
Schwartzman, Lisa J. V.; Vause, Tricia; Martin, Garry L.; Yu, C. T.; Campbell, Lindsay; Danbrook, Matthew; Feldman, Maurice – Education and Training in Developmental Disabilities, 2009
The Assessment of Basic Learning Abilities (ABLA) test is a useful assessment and training tool for persons with developmental disabilities. The present study assessed the predictive validity of the ABLA test with 16 children diagnosed with an autistic spectrum disorder, eight who performed at ABLA Level 4 and eight who performed at ABLA Level 6.…
Descriptors: Autism, Developmental Disabilities, Predictive Validity, Prediction
Luna, Andrew L.; Brennan, Kelly A. – Association for Institutional Research (NJ1), 2009
This study uses a regression model to determine if a significant difference exists between the actual budget allocation that an academic department received and the model's predicted budget allocation for that same department. Budget data from a Southeastern Master's/Comprehensive state university were used as the dependent variable, and the…
Descriptors: Budgeting, Resource Allocation, Multiple Regression Analysis, Departments
Are SSATs and GPA Enough? A Theory-Based Approach to Predicting Academic Success in Secondary School
Grigorenko, Elena L.; Jarvin, Linda; Diffley, Ray; Goodyear, Julie; Shanahan, Edward J.; Sternberg, Robert J. – Journal of Educational Psychology, 2009
Two studies were carried out to predict academic success in the highly competitive environment of a private preparatory school, Choate Rosemary Hall. The 1st study focused on the question of whether there are indicators beyond middle school grade-point average (GPA) and standardized test scores that might enhance the validity of measures for…
Descriptors: Private Schools, College Preparation, Residential Schools, Academic Achievement
Langton, Calvin M.; Barbaree, Howard E.; Harkins, Leigh; Peacock, Edward J.; Arenovich, Tamara – Journal of Interpersonal Violence, 2008
Among a number of widely used risk assessment instruments with adult sexual offenders, the Minnesota Sex Offender Screening Tool-Revised (MnSOST-R) has been subject to relatively few evaluation studies. Only two independent research groups have published replication studies in the peer-reviewed literature with data not provided by the MnSOST-R's…
Descriptors: Sexual Abuse, At Risk Persons, Criminals, Recidivism
Froman, Terry; Rubiera, Vilma – Research Services, Miami-Dade County Public Schools, 2007
Although students have been taking the Florida Comprehensive Assessment Test (FCAT) Science test for a few years, the State included the performance on the Science test in the school grade calculations for the first time in 2006-07. Although no official guidelines exist presently, the Science scores may also be incorporated in the NCLB Adequately…
Descriptors: Prediction, Science Tests, Mathematics Tests, Mathematics Achievement
Sutton, Robert A.; Miller, Carolyn – College Student Journal, 2006
Body composition measurements vary greatly in degree of measurement difficulty and accuracy. Hydrostatic weighing, chemical dilution or their equivalents were the accepted "gold" standards for assessing fat mass. Dual Energy X-ray Absorptiometry (DEXA) is fast replacing these techniques as the preferred standard. However, these direct measurement…
Descriptors: Predictive Validity, Measurement Techniques, Body Weight, Body Composition
Jiban, Cynthia L.; Deno, Stanley L. – Assessment for Effective Intervention, 2007
This study investigated the technical adequacy of 3 simple, 1-min curriculum-based measurements (CBM) for predicting third (n = 35) and fifth (n = 49) graders' performance on a state standards test of mathematics. Measures included 2 numeric CBMs: a traditional basic facts measure and a new "cloze" math facts measure, designed to require deeper…
Descriptors: Curriculum Based Assessment, State Standards, Predictive Validity, Mathematics Tests
Huang, Chenn-Jung; Chu, San-Shine; Guan, Chih-Tai – Computers & Education, 2007
In recent years, designing useful learning diagnosis systems has become a hot research topic in the literature. In order to help teachers easily analyze students' profiles in intelligent tutoring system, it is essential that students' portfolios can be transformed into some useful information to reflect the extent of students' participation in the…
Descriptors: Portfolios (Background Materials), Prediction, Online Courses, Intelligent Tutoring Systems
The Differential Predictive Validity of the Initial Skills Analysis: Reading Screening Tests for K-3
Pomplun, Mark – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2004
The present study investigated the differential predictive validity of the Initial Skills Analysis. In the fall, these reading screening tests were administered to students in Grades K to 3. In the spring, a series of reading outcomes tests were administered to these same students, and teachers provided judgments of the students' reading skills.…
Descriptors: Skill Analysis, Prediction, Minority Groups, Reading Skills
Bridgeman, Brent; Lewis, Charles – 1995
H. Wainer and L. Steinberg (1992) showed that within broad categories of first-year college mathematics courses (e.g., calculus), men had substantially higher average scores on the mathematics section of the Scholastic Aptitude Test (SAT-M) than women who earned the same letter grade. However, Wainer and Steinberg's analysis may lead to…
Descriptors: Calculus, College Students, Grades (Scholastic), Higher Education
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