ERIC Number: ED673813
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 2024-Dec
Pages: 31
Abstractor: ERIC
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
EISSN: N/A
Available Date: 0000-00-00
Predicting Academic Success in College: The Comparative Strength of High School GPA, ACT® Score, and Demographic Factors. ACT Research. Research Report. R2421
Edgar I. Sanchez
ACT Education Corp.
This study offers a novel approach to evaluating the predictors of first-year grade point average (FYGPA) in college by using multiple imputation and dominance analysis to compare high school GPA (HSGPA), ACT® test score, and demographic factors. Unlike previous research that typically relied on single regression models, this study reveals more nuanced relationships between predictors. A key differentiator is the finding that neither HSGPA nor ACT Composite score consistently dominated across all models, challenging prior conclusions about their relative importance. The analysis also highlights the dominant predictive roles of English and math performance in high school. Additionally, this study confirms that academic achievement measures are far stronger predictors of FYGPA than demographic variables, with family income and gender being the least important. These findings are important because they provide a more nuanced understanding of the factors that predict college success, which can have significant implications for how students are admitted and how they are supported once enrolled. By demonstrating that high HSGPA and ACT scores are stronger predictors of FYGPA than demographic factors, the study reinforces the importance of academic readiness for student outcomes. Also, the emphasis on English and math performance as key predictors of success underscores the value of strong foundational skills, which can inform curriculum design and high school preparation programs.
Descriptors: High School Students, Predictor Variables, Grade Point Average, Academic Achievement, College Freshmen, English, Language Arts, Mathematics Achievement, Scores, College Readiness, Student Characteristics, College Preparation, College Entrance Examinations, Race, Ethnicity, Gender Differences, Family Income, Science Achievement, Social Studies
ACT Education Corp. 500 ACT Drive, P.O. Box 168, Iowa City, IA 52243-0168. Tel: 319-337-1270; Web site: http://www.act.org
Publication Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: High Schools; Secondary Education; Higher Education; Postsecondary Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: ACT Education Corp.
Identifiers - Assessments and Surveys: ACT Assessment
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A
Author Affiliations: N/A