ERIC Number: EJ1182058
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2018-Jul
Pages: 16
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-0162-3257
EISSN: N/A
Available Date: N/A
Prediction of Autism at 3 Years from Behavioural and Developmental Measures in High-Risk Infants: A Longitudinal Cross-Domain Classifier Analysis
Bussu, G.; Jones, E. J. H.; Charman, T.; Johnson, M. H.; Buitelaar, J. K.; Baron-Cohen, S.; Bedford, R.; Bolton, P.; Blasi, A.; Chandler, S.; Cheung, C.; Davies, K.; Elsabbagh, M.; Fernandes, J.; Gammer, I.; Garwood, H.; Gliga, T.; Guiraud, J.; Hudry, K.; Liew, M.; Lloyd-Fox, S.; Maris, H.; O'Hara, L.; Pasco, G.; Pickles, A.; Ribeiro, H.; Salomone, E.; Tucker, L.; Volein, A.
Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders, v48 n7 p2418-2433 Jul 2018
We integrated multiple behavioural and developmental measures from multiple time-points using machine learning to improve early prediction of individual Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) outcome. We examined Mullen Scales of Early Learning, Vineland Adaptive Behavior Scales, and early ASD symptoms between 8 and 36 months in high-risk siblings (HR; n = 161) and low-risk controls (LR; n = 71). Longitudinally, LR and "HR-Typical" showed higher developmental level and functioning, and fewer ASD symptoms than "HR-Atypical" and "HR-ASD." At 8 months, machine learning classified "HR-ASD" at chance level, and broader atypical development with 69.2% Area Under the Curve (AUC). At 14 months, ASD and broader atypical development were classified with approximately 71% AUC. Thus, prediction of ASD was only possible with moderate accuracy at 14 months.
Descriptors: Prediction, Autism, Symptoms (Individual Disorders), Classification, At Risk Persons, Control Groups, Pervasive Developmental Disorders, Children, Motor Development, Young Children, Cognitive Ability, Behavior Rating Scales, Adjustment (to Environment), Infants, Toddlers, Longitudinal Studies, Child Development, Siblings, Questionnaires, Observation, Diagnostic Tests, Statistical Analysis
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Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers - Assessments and Surveys: Mullen Scales of Early Learning; Vineland Adaptive Behavior Scales; Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule
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Author Affiliations: N/A