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Mingya Huang; David Kaplan – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2025
The issue of model uncertainty has been gaining interest in education and the social sciences community over the years, and the dominant methods for handling model uncertainty are based on Bayesian inference, particularly, Bayesian model averaging. However, Bayesian model averaging assumes that the true data-generating model is within the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Statistical Inference, Predictor Variables
David Kaplan; Jianshen Chen; Weicong Lyu; Sinan Yavuz – Grantee Submission, 2023
The purpose of this paper is to extend and evaluate methods of "Bayesian historical borrowing" applied to longitudinal data with a focus on parameter recovery and predictive performance. Bayesian historical borrowing allows researchers to utilize information from previous data sources and to adjust the extent of borrowing based on the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Longitudinal Studies, Children, Surveys