Discusses Mexico's "National Plan of Higher Education, 1981-1991" in conjunction with other plans concerning this nation's demography, economic growth, increasing urbanization, and science and technological system. Mexico's educational plan was hampered by an unexpected economic crisis in 1982 that drastically reduced the GNP and caused…

Analyzes data presented in a recent article (EJ 328 649) examining the relationship between A-level physics and mathematics and degree performance in engineering or physics. A grade of A in A-level physics predicted first class degree performance. (JM)

According to the management perspective, educational practice is a technical process with predictable and guaranteed outcomes. This viewpoint is reflected in the New South Wales (Australia) Scott Report on educational reform. However, this approach must be challenged, and uncertainty and unpredictability in education must be acknowledged and…

Futures study is a forward-looking equivalent of history--not predicting the future, but attempting to discipline our anticipations of the future (or of a future) as we perceive it now. This paper investigates the extent to which futures study shares with history and comparative study an empirical, as distinct from normative, starting point for…

Presents a checklist of school enrollment forecasting issues and techniques applicable to British schools. Proper resource allocation depends on the geographical distribution of pupils, pupil and school characteristics, future primary level intake, new housing developments, consistency between forecasts, policy criteria, and other factors.…

Reviews Scottish national system of residential schools for maladjusted children. Describes history and organization of List D schools for delinquents and List G schools for emotionally/behaviorally disturbed children. Discusses differences between schools and lack of school effectiveness measures. Forecasts typical future residential schools and…

This report presents scenario projections of the demand for academics in Australia to the year 2002, together with supply side projections on the numbers of new higher degree holders offering themselves for academic employment in that country. Chapter 1 offers an introduction and review of background issues. The second chapter outlines the…

Recent literature has made little attempt to apply historical studies to the problems of contemporary educational administration or to use historical studies as the basis for analysis or prediction. This article examines the role of historical insights in relation to educational administration and proposes approaches that might enhance their…

The 1980s will be a period of restructuring for Australian education. Four factors will be central to this process: school-based decision-making, new administrative structures, regionalization, and declining and shifting enrollments. (Author/JW)

This paper examines the use of environmental scanning for institutions of higher education to achieve the following objectives: (1) provide early warning of changes that will have an impact on education; (2) define potential threats and opportunities to the institution or department; (3) promote a future orientation in faculty; and (4) alert…

Predictions made in 1978 about Australian higher education are re-examined. Very inaccurate enrollment predictions are attributed to unforeseen demand and supply influences. The end to the binary system of higher education, a major change in 1989, was not predicted. However, early analyses of relationships between education, employment, and…

This report forecasts changes in the education system of the province of Ontario to assist educators responsible for managing changes in the next decade. The report is arranged in three sections, each accompanied by tables and figures. Section 1, "Quantitative Perspectives on the Future of Ontario School Boards through 1996," by Tom…

This volume evaluates the effects of contemporary issues and technological trends upon the nature of Western society's educational systems and its ability to cope with changes in employment. The work is a translation from Italian. Three chapters emphasize higher education and compulsory education's relationship to a future society of quality…