A model using four categories of college applicants (enrollment deposit paid, deposit not yet paid, applicants not yet admitted, and those who have not yet applied) that allows forecasting of freshman enrollment from any point in the admission process and simulates the effects of trends and strategies on enrollment is outlined. (MSE)

Issues of strategy and statesmanship that characterize the period prior to a decision for a college merger are addressed. Attention is directed to models of private college merger, based on patterns used in the 1970s, and innovations sponsored by foundations in the early 1980s. Factors that increase the chance of a voluntary merger taking place…

Three models for calculating college student retention rates and predicting enrollments are examined: (1) the Cohort Ratio Model; (2) the Longitudinal Persistence Model; and (3) the Markov Process Model. The last is seen as more encompassing, with wider applicability range, and useful in tracking student change in major and movement in and out of…

The development of a successful short-range forecasting model for predicting enrollment in a university intensive English course began with examination of the characteristics (nationality, enrollment patterns, persistence) of both course participants and no-shows; the resulting figures revealed consistent patterns for country of origin and for…

Long-range planning is becoming increasingly important for educators in today's rapidly changing society. This bulletin accordingly presents a step-by-step model for school districts to use in developing and successfully implementing a long-range plan. Chapter 1 introduces long-range planning and suggests ways of getting district personnel…

This text provides educational administrators with a working knowledge of the problem-solving techniques of PERT (planning, evaluation, and review technique), Linear Programming, Queueing Theory, and Simulation. The text includes an introduction to decision-making and operations research, four chapters consisting of indepth explanations of each…

This paper examines the changing demographics of American society and the impact of these changes on higher education. Discussions include a historical background of early American demography, the building and expansion of the population base, and census changes through various generations of the baby boom years and beyond. Next, the report…

If educational institutions are to experience continued growth in times of declining enrollments, they must develop an organizational concept of enrollment management which incorporates all institutional areas in its activities. At the base of an effective enrollment management system is institutional research, which should focus on market…

A five-year plan for admissions in a large state university is presented that considers current and projected enrollment, budget, space, equipment, computer liaison, recruitment, research personnel, publications, orientation, and public relations. (MSE)