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David Broska; Michael Howes; Austin van Loon – Sociological Methods & Research, 2025
Large language models (LLMs) provide cost-effective but possibly inaccurate predictions of human behavior. Despite growing evidence that predicted and observed behavior are often not "interchangeable," there is limited guidance on using LLMs to obtain valid estimates of causal effects and other parameters. We argue that LLM predictions…
Descriptors: Artificial Intelligence, Observation, Prediction, Correlation
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Joshua B. Gilbert; Luke W. Miratrix; Mridul Joshi; Benjamin W. Domingue – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2025
Analyzing heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) plays a crucial role in understanding the impacts of educational interventions. A standard practice for HTE analysis is to examine interactions between treatment status and preintervention participant characteristics, such as pretest scores, to identify how different groups respond to treatment.…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Item Response Theory, Statistical Inference, Psychometrics