Matching methods are widely used in educational research to estimate causal effects when randomization is not feasible. These techniques pair treated units (such as schools receiving an intervention) with similar control units based on observable characteristics. However, current statistical inference procedures for these methods can produce…

We consider the cascading effects of researcher decisions throughout the process of quantifying racially polarized voting (RPV). We contrast three methods of estimating precinct racial composition, Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding (BISG), fully Bayesian BISG, and Citizen Voting Age Population (CVAP), and two algorithms for performing ecological…

Large language models (LLMs) provide cost-effective but possibly inaccurate predictions of human behavior. Despite growing evidence that predicted and observed behavior are often not "interchangeable," there is limited guidance on using LLMs to obtain valid estimates of causal effects and other parameters. We argue that LLM predictions…

As educational research increasingly emphasizes identifying effective interventions through rigorous causal methods, the role of implementation in determining a program's impact has gained renewed significance. Despite the long-standing recognition that implementation varies across contexts and influences outcomes (Berman & McLaughlin, 1974;…

For randomized trials that use text as an outcome, traditional approaches for assessing treatment impact require that each document first be manually coded for constructs of interest by trained human raters. This process, the current standard, is both time-consuming and limiting: even the largest human coding efforts are typically constrained to…

While testlets have proven useful for assessing complex skills, the stem shared by multiple items often induces correlations between responses, leading to violations of local independence (LI), which can result in biased parameter and ability estimates. Diagnostic procedures for detecting testlet effects typically involve model comparisons testing…

Combining observational and experimental data for causal inference can improve treatment effect estimation. However, many observational data sets cannot be released due to data privacy considerations, so one researcher may not have access to both experimental and observational data. Nonetheless, a small amount of risk of disclosing sensitive…