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Hayat Sahlaoui; El Arbi Abdellaoui Alaoui; Said Agoujil; Anand Nayyar – Education and Information Technologies, 2024
Predicting student performance using educational data is a significant area of machine learning research. However, class imbalance in datasets and the challenge of developing interpretable models can hinder accuracy. This study compares different variations of the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) combined with classification…
Descriptors: Sampling, Classification, Algorithms, Prediction
Migliavaca, Celina Borges; Stein, Cinara; Colpani, Verônica; Barker, Timothy Hugh; Ziegelmann, Patricia Klarmann; Munn, Zachary; Falavigna, Maicon – Research Synthesis Methods, 2022
Over the last decade, there has been a 10-fold increase in the number of published systematic reviews of prevalence. In meta-analyses of prevalence, the summary estimate represents an average prevalence from included studies. This estimate is truly informative only if there is no substantial heterogeneity among the different contexts being pooled.…
Descriptors: Incidence, Meta Analysis, Statistics, Statistical Distributions
Jing Chen; Bei Fang; Hao Zhang; Xia Xue – Interactive Learning Environments, 2024
High dropout rate exists universally in massive open online courses (MOOCs) due to the separation of teachers and learners in space and time. Dropout prediction using the machine learning method is an extremely important prerequisite to identify potential at-risk learners to improve learning. It has attracted much attention and there have emerged…
Descriptors: MOOCs, Potential Dropouts, Prediction, Artificial Intelligence
Anastasia Michalopoulou; Sonia Kafoussi – International Electronic Journal of Mathematics Education, 2024
This paper argues that engaging students in informal statistical reasoning from early school years is essential for the development of statistical understanding. We investigated if and how children aged six-seven years old identified variation in a table of data and made predictions through the design of a teaching experiment. The classroom…
Descriptors: Statistics, Thinking Skills, Grade 1, Elementary School Students
Kater?ina Trc?kova´; Hana Tkac?i´kova´; Roman Mars?a´lek – Journal of Chemical Education, 2023
The purpose of this article is to describe the possibilities of using worksheets in the teaching of lipids and proteins. The worksheet includes a concept map, suggestions for three safe experiments that can be performed with available household chemicals, and observation results. The worksheets were implemented into action research in two classes…
Descriptors: Laboratory Experiments, Laboratory Safety, Worksheets, Science Instruction
Wang, Fei; Huang, Zhenya; Liu, Qi; Chen, Enhong; Yin, Yu; Ma, Jianhui; Wang, Shijin – IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 2023
To provide personalized support on educational platforms, it is crucial to model the evolution of students' knowledge states. Knowledge tracing is one of the most popular technologies for this purpose, and deep learning-based methods have achieved state-of-the-art performance. Compared to classical models, such as Bayesian knowledge tracing, which…
Descriptors: Cognitive Measurement, Diagnostic Tests, Models, Prediction
Worsley, Marcelo; Martinez-Maldonado, Roberto; D'Angelo, Cynthia – Journal of Learning Analytics, 2021
Multimodal learning analytics (MMLA) has increasingly been a topic of discussion within the learning analytics community. The Society of Learning Analytics Research is home to the CrossMMLA Special Interest Group and regularly hosts workshops on MMLA during the Learning Analytics Summer Institute (LASI). In this paper, we articulate a set of 12…
Descriptors: Learning Analytics, Artificial Intelligence, Data Collection, Statistical Inference
Harris, Frank – School Science Review, 2020
The year 2020 saw the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic that not only had wide-reaching social and economic consequences but also put healthcare systems under stress. Strategies for coping with the virus depended heavily on the interpretation of data. This article uses information from a UK upper tier local authority to examine how closely the…
Descriptors: Pandemics, COVID-19, Data Interpretation, Prediction
Jacob M. Schauer; Kaitlyn G. Fitzgerald; Sarah Peko-Spicer; Mena C. R. Whalen; Rrita Zejnullahi; Larry V. Hedges – Grantee Submission, 2021
Several programs of research have sought to assess the replicability of scientific findings in different fields, including economics and psychology. These programs attempt to replicate several findings and use the results to say something about large-scale patterns of replicability in a field. However, little work has been done to understand the…
Descriptors: Statistical Analysis, Research Methodology, Evaluation Methods, Replication (Evaluation)
Dorans, Neil J. – ETS Research Report Series, 2018
A distinction is made between scores as measures of a construct and predictions of a criterion or outcome variable. The interpretation attached to predictions of criteria, such as job performance or college grade point average (GPA), differs from that attached to scores that are measures of a construct, such as reading proficiency or knowledge…
Descriptors: Job Performance, Scores, Data Interpretation, Statistical Distributions
Charlotte Z. Mann; Jiaying Wang; Adam Sales; Johann A. Gagnon-Bartsch – Grantee Submission, 2024
The gold-standard for evaluating the effect of an educational intervention on student outcomes is running a randomized controlled trial (RCT). However, RCTs may often be small due to logistical considerations, and resulting treatment effect estimates may lack precision. Recent methods improve experimental precision by incorporating information…
Descriptors: Intervention, Outcomes of Education, Randomized Controlled Trials, Data Use
Yikai Lu; Teresa M. Ober; Cheng Liu; Ying Cheng – Grantee Submission, 2022
Machine learning methods for predictive analytics have great potential for uncovering trends in educational data. However, simple linear models still appear to be most widely used, in part, because of their interpretability. This study aims to address the issues of interpretability of complex machine learning classifiers by conducting feature…
Descriptors: Prediction, Statistics Education, Data Analysis, Learning Analytics
He, Lingjun; Levine, Richard A.; Fan, Juanjuan; Beemer, Joshua; Stronach, Jeanne – Practical Assessment, Research & Evaluation, 2018
In institutional research, modern data mining approaches are seldom considered to address predictive analytics problems. The goal of this paper is to highlight the advantages of tree-based machine learning algorithms over classic (logistic) regression methods for data-informed decision making in higher education problems, and stress the success of…
Descriptors: Institutional Research, Regression (Statistics), Statistical Analysis, Data Analysis
Bentler, Peter M. – Measurement: Interdisciplinary Research and Perspectives, 2016
The latent factor in a causal indicator model is no more than the latent factor of the factor part of the model. However, if the causal indicator variables are well-understood and help to improve the prediction of individuals' factor scores, they can help to interpret the meaning of the latent factor. Aguirre-Urreta, Rönkkö, and Marakas (2016)…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Factor Analysis, Prediction, Scores
Presser, Ashley Lewis; Kamdar, Danae; Vidiksis, Regan; Goldstein, Marion; Dominguez, Ximena; Orr, Jillian – Science and Children, 2017
Many preschool classrooms explore plant growth. However, because many plants take a long time to grow, it is often hard to facilitate engagement in some practices (i.e., since change is typically not observable from one day to another, children often forget their prior predictions or cannot recall what plants looked like days or weeks earlier).…
Descriptors: Plants (Botany), Preschool Children, Prediction, Science Experiments
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