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Jeremiah T. Stark – ProQuest LLC, 2024
This study highlights the role and importance of advanced, machine learning-driven predictive models in enhancing the accuracy and timeliness of identifying students at-risk of negative academic outcomes in data-driven Early Warning Systems (EWS). K-12 school districts have, at best, 13 years to prepare students for adulthood and success. They…
Descriptors: High School Students, Graduation Rate, Predictor Variables, Predictive Validity
Giani, Matt S.; Attewell, Paul; Walling, David – Texas Education Research Center, 2021
Despite advances made in broadening access to higher education, some evidence suggests that college completion rates have actually declined over time, and attainment gaps stemming from race/ethnicity and socioeconomic background have remained stubbornly persistent (Bound, Lovenheim, & Turner, 2010; National Center for Education Statistics,…
Descriptors: Access to Education, Higher Education, Graduation Rate, Academic Persistence
Christopher Cleveland; Ethan Scherer – Educational Researcher, 2025
Education leaders need valid metrics to predict students' long-term success. We use a unique data set with cognitive skills, self-regulation, behavior, course performance, and test scores for eighth-grade students from a Northeast school district. We link these data to students' high school outcomes, college enrollment, persistence, and on-time…
Descriptors: Middle School Students, Grade 8, Student Surveys, Self Evaluation (Individuals)
Jorgensen, Mary; Budd, Jillian; Fichten, Catherine S.; Nguyen, Mai N.; Havel, Alice – International Journal of Higher Education, 2018
This study's goal was to compare aspects related to academic persistence of two groups of college students with non-visible disabilities: 110 Canadian two and four-year college students--55 with mental health related disabilities and 55 with Specific Learning Disorder (LD). Results show that students with mental health related disabilities were…
Descriptors: College Students, Learning Disabilities, Academic Persistence, Mental Health
Horn, Aaron S.; Lee, Giljae – Research in Higher Education, 2016
A relatively simple way of measuring institutional effectiveness in relation to degree completion is to estimate the difference between an actual and predicted graduation rate, but the reliability and validity of this method have not been thoroughly examined. Longitudinal data were obtained from IPEDS for both public and private not-for-profit…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Test Reliability, Test Validity, Graduation Rate
Huang, Liuli; Roche, Lahna R.; Kennedy, Eugene; Brocato, Melissa B. – International Journal of Higher Education, 2017
Many researchers have explored the relationships between the likelihood of graduating from college and demographic and pre-college factors such as gender, race/ethnicity, high school grade point average (GPA), and standardized test scores. However, additional factors such as a student's college major, home address, or use of learning support in…
Descriptors: Graduation Rate, Predictor Variables, Predictive Measurement, Predictive Validity
National Centre for Vocational Education Research (NCVER), 2016
This work asks one simple question: "how reliable is the method used by the National Centre for Vocational Education Research (NCVER) to estimate projected rates of VET program completion?" In other words, how well do early projections align with actual completion rates some years later? Completion rates are simple to calculate with a…
Descriptors: Vocational Education, Graduation Rate, Predictive Measurement, Predictive Validity
Williams, Daphne E.; Siwatu, Mxolisi S. B. – Educational Research Quarterly, 2017
Developmental education programs and services have long provided underprepared and unprepared postsecondary students with the academic tools and life-management skills necessary to successfully complete collegelevel coursework. Legislation and policy changes, including implementing statewide minimum admissions requirements and restricting…
Descriptors: Algebra, Developmental Programs, Remedial Programs, Remedial Mathematics
Eickhoff, Mary Ann – ProQuest LLC, 2016
There is currently a nursing shortage in the United States. By 2022, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) expects, the number of job openings for Practical Nurses (PN) will be 168,500, an increase of 25% over 2012 (BLS, 2014). Nursing education does not currently meet present, much less future needs. Nursing programs have limited space; according…
Descriptors: Nursing Students, Predictor Variables, Success, Licensing Examinations (Professions)
Predicting Higher Education Outcomes and Implications for a Postsecondary Institution Ratings System
Walker, Eddie G., II – Journal of Higher Education Policy and Management, 2016
The accountability of colleges and universities is a high priority for those making policy decisions. The purpose of this study was to determine institutional characteristics predicting retention rates, graduation rates and transfer-out rates using publicly available data from the US Department of Education. Using regression analysis, it was…
Descriptors: Higher Education, Predictive Measurement, Predictive Validity, Prediction
Mezza, Alvaro; Sommer, Kamila – Journal of Student Financial Aid, 2016
The recent significant increase in student loan delinquencies has generated interest in understanding the key factors predicting the non-performance of these loans. However, despite the large size of the student loan market, existing analyses have been limited by lack of data. This paper studies predictors of student loan delinquencies using a…
Descriptors: Student Loan Programs, Debt (Financial), Loan Default, Loan Repayment