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Garret J. Hall; Emma Doyle; Edgardo Mejias Vazquez – Learning Disabilities Research & Practice, 2025
Using data from students in Grades 3-8 in school years 2018-2019 (N = 1,871) and 2021-2022 (N = 1,740), we examined the strength of fall math screening using Measures of Academic Progress (MAP) for predicting end-of-year state math assessment performance levels and whether this prediction varied across English language proficiency (ELP). In…
Descriptors: Screening Tests, Mathematics Tests, Achievement Tests, Mathematics Achievement
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Christopher Cleveland; Ethan Scherer – Educational Researcher, 2025
Education leaders need valid metrics to predict students' long-term success. We use a unique data set with cognitive skills, self-regulation, behavior, course performance, and test scores for eighth-grade students from a Northeast school district. We link these data to students' high school outcomes, college enrollment, persistence, and on-time…
Descriptors: Middle School Students, Grade 8, Student Surveys, Self Evaluation (Individuals)
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Ethan R. Van Norman; Emily R. Forcht – Journal of Education for Students Placed at Risk, 2024
This study evaluated the forecasting accuracy of trend estimation methods applied to time-series data from computer adaptive tests (CATs). Data were collected roughly once a month over the course of a school year. We evaluated the forecasting accuracy of two regression-based growth estimation methods (ordinary least squares and Theil-Sen). The…
Descriptors: Data Collection, Predictive Measurement, Predictive Validity, Predictor Variables