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Jason A. Schoeneberger; Christopher Rhoads – American Journal of Evaluation, 2025
Regression discontinuity (RD) designs are increasingly used for causal evaluations. However, the literature contains little guidance for conducting a moderation analysis within an RDD context. The current article focuses on moderation with a single binary variable. A simulation study compares: (1) different bandwidth selectors and (2) local…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Causal Models, Evaluation Methods, Multivariate Analysis
Myoung-jae Lee; Goeun Lee; Jin-young Choi – Sociological Methods & Research, 2025
A linear model is often used to find the effect of a binary treatment D on a noncontinuous outcome Y with covariates X. Particularly, a binary Y gives the popular "linear probability model (LPM)," but the linear model is untenable if X contains a continuous regressor. This raises the question: what kind of treatment effect does the…
Descriptors: Probability, Least Squares Statistics, Regression (Statistics), Causal Models
Danielle Sanderson Edwards; Matthew A. Kraft; Alvin Christian; Christopher A. Candelaria – Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, 2025
We develop a conceptual framework for understanding and predicting teacher shortages at the state, region, district, and school levels. We then empirically examine how teacher shortages vary geographically and by subject using data on unfilled teaching positions in Tennessee traditional public schools during Fall 2019. We find that teacher…
Descriptors: Teacher Shortage, Faculty Mobility, Predictor Variables, Public School Teachers
Yifang Wang; Huijuan Di; Qingru Duan – Early Childhood Education Journal, 2025
China's recent implementation of the three-child policy is expected to have profound implications for population dynamics, leading to potential changes in preschool enrollment and subsequent demand for preschool teachers. This study addresses this issue by utilizing population forecasting software (PADIS-INT) to project population growth trends…
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Preschool Teachers, Teacher Shortage, Demand Occupations
Thao-Trang Huynh-Cam; Long-Sheng Chen; Tzu-Chuen Lu – Journal of Applied Research in Higher Education, 2025
Purpose: This study aimed to use enrollment information including demographic, family background and financial status, which can be gathered before the first semester starts, to construct early prediction models (EPMs) and extract crucial factors associated with first-year student dropout probability. Design/methodology/approach: The real-world…
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Undergraduate Students, At Risk Students, Dropout Characteristics

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