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Direct linkEthan R. Van Norman; Emily R. Forcht – Journal of Education for Students Placed at Risk, 2024
This study evaluated the forecasting accuracy of trend estimation methods applied to time-series data from computer adaptive tests (CATs). Data were collected roughly once a month over the course of a school year. We evaluated the forecasting accuracy of two regression-based growth estimation methods (ordinary least squares and Theil-Sen). The…
Descriptors: Data Collection, Predictive Measurement, Predictive Validity, Predictor Variables
Jaylin Lowe; Charlotte Z. Mann; Jiaying Wang; Adam Sales; Johann A. Gagnon-Bartsch – Grantee Submission, 2024
Recent methods have sought to improve precision in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) by utilizing data from large observational datasets for covariate adjustment. For example, consider an RCT aimed at evaluating a new algebra curriculum, in which a few dozen schools are randomly assigned to treatment (new curriculum) or control (standard…
Descriptors: Randomized Controlled Trials, Middle School Mathematics, Middle School Students, Middle Schools
Baker, Ryan S.; Berning, Andrew W.; Gowda, Sujith M.; Zhang, Shizhu; Hawn, Aaron – Journal of Education for Students Placed at Risk, 2020
Dropout remains a persistent challenge within high school education. In this paper, we present a case study on automatically detecting whether a student is at-risk of dropout within a diverse school district in Texas. We predict whether a student will drop out in a future school year from data on students' discipline, attendance, course-taking,…
Descriptors: At Risk Students, High School Students, Dropout Prevention, Student Diversity
Download full textClune, Bill; Knowles, Jared – Wisconsin Center for Education Research, 2016
Since 2012, the Wisconsin Department of Public Instruction (DPI) has maintained a statewide predictive analytics system providing schools with an early warning in middle grades of students at risk for not completing high school. DPI is considering extending and enhancing this system, known as the Dropout Early Warning System (DEWS). The proposed…
Descriptors: Predictive Measurement, Delivery Systems, State Standards, Early Intervention
Olsen, Jennifer K.; Aleven, Vincent; Rummel, Nikol – Grantee Submission, 2015
Student models for adaptive systems may not model collaborative learning optimally. Past research has either focused on modeling individual learning or for collaboration, has focused on group dynamics or group processes without predicting learning. In the current paper, we adjust the Additive Factors Model (AFM), a standard logistic regression…
Descriptors: Educational Environment, Predictive Measurement, Predictor Variables, Cooperative Learning
Olsen, Jennifer K.; Aleven, Vincent; Rummel, Nikol – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2015
Student models for adaptive systems may not model collaborative learning optimally. Past research has either focused on modeling individual learning or for collaboration, has focused on group dynamics or group processes without predicting learning. In the current paper, we adjust the Additive Factors Model (AFM), a standard logistic regression…
Descriptors: Educational Environment, Predictive Measurement, Predictor Variables, Cooperative Learning
