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Li, Guo-Dong; Yamaguchi, Daisuke; Nagai, Masatake; Masuda, Shiro – International Journal of Learning and Change, 2008
In this paper, we propose a new prediction analysis model which combines the first order one variable Grey differential equation Model (abbreviated as GM(1,1) model) from grey system theory and time series Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model from statistics theory. We abbreviate the combined GM(1,1) ARIMA model as ARGM(1,1)…
Descriptors: Markov Processes, Prediction, Statistical Data, Foreign Countries