First-year grade point average (FYGPA) is an oft-referenced outcome criterion for assessments of the predictive validity of a variety of admissions mechanisms. Unfortunately, few studies examine the relationship between FYGPA and long-term outcomes such as graduating grade point average and six-year graduation. Influenced by Wilson's (1980) late-bloomer hypothesis, this paper examines the relationship between FYGPA and graduating grade point average, honors graduation and six-year graduation. Further, the possibility of a racial differential in this relationship is examined. Using simple linear regression and logistic regression in addition to Zar's (1999) formula for comparing slopes, FYGPA is determined to bear a strong relationship with each of the dependent variables across race.