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Spar, Michael A. – Educational Research Quarterly, 1994
Several different methods for projecting grade-progression ratios were tested with 12 years of grade-specific membership data for Virginia. In nearly all cases, projections made by exponential smoothing produced more accurate results than series produced by averages, moving averages, or regression methods. (SLD)
Descriptors: Age Grade Placement, Elementary Secondary Education, Enrollment, Evaluation Methods