A review of the literature concerning local school roll forecasting describes the theoretical model common to most local education agency (LEA) forecasts, identifies a variety of issues relevant to this area of LEA planning, and suggests some opportunities for improvement in LEA school roll forecasting. (Author/CB)

Summaries of two recent publications by the National Center for Education Statistics show a continued decline in enrollment. A gradual enrollment increase is expected to begin in 1984. Increases are also projected for school expenditures and teacher demand. (MLF)

Analysis of demographic trends suggests that, despite a recent rise in numbers of births, total school enrollment in North Carolina may continue to decline into the 1990s. (Author/MLF)

Higher education in the 1980s and the early 1990s will change as a result of reductions in the number of Americans reaching the traditional college enrollment age. In order to survive in the coming decades, many colleges and universities are making an effort to appeal to segments of the population that are not within the traditional age range. (JN)

Presented are enrollment projections for primary and secondary school students in England through the 1980s and beyond in the light of information on the school population and births up to 1981 and of alternative forecasts of births in future years. Projections of the numbers leaving school are also discussed. (Author/IS)

Enrollment managers in search of a flexible, comprehensive student flow model will find the Markov Chain a suitable mathematical process for use in tracking students through their academic careers. Furthermore, projections can be made based on previous enrollment patterns, and many scenarios can be examined under various constraints and…

It appears that both overall enrollments in higher education and art major enrollments will decline over the next decade. Art educators need to prepare for this uncertain future by determining program priorities, building program quality, developing enrollment strategies, and maintaining the necessary flexibility to respond to changing future…

It is demonstrated that although governments in France, Sweden, and the United Kingdom failed to foresee the scale of expansion of demand for higher education in the 1960s, as well as the slackening of private demand in the early 1970s, they succeeded in meeting short-term private demand. (KC)

The 51.7 million students enrolled in public and private schools this year outstrip the 51.3 million mark set in 1971. Today's taxpayers are reluctant to pay for new schools; therefore, school leaders need to be creative in handling the enrollment crunch. Experts in fast-growing districts offer tips. (MLF)

Refutes criticisms by L. G. Carr and D. J. Ziegler of the author's predictions concerning mandatory busing in Norfolk, Virginia. Charges that Carr and Ziegler ignored or miscalculated statistical evidence. Concludes that canceling forced busing would have brought White students back to secondary schools, as it did to elementary schools. (SG)

This article briefly describes the decline of the number of minority teachers at a time when the numbers of minority students are increasing and are projected to increase through the end of this century. The article reports a variety of studies and statistics which reflect this trend. (JL)

A declining college-age population along with other factors will likely result in significant decreases in college enrollment in the 1980s, according to most projections. Sizable variations by state and type of institution are expected. The new students--adults, women, minorities--will probably not significantly alleviate the projected decline.…

Discusses policies for college and university "retrenchment," given the long-term projections of possible enrollment decline, primarily from declining numbers of high school graduates between 1980 and 1990. Highlights the conflicts and problems in creating retrenchment policies, with special emphasis on personnel and procedural issues.…

Various forces will combine to produce a new generation of students best characterized as the "calculating consumers." These forces include fewer and more diverse students, oversupply of faculty, interrupted patterns of study, tight job markets, consumer collectives, and campus protests. Some implications for student personnel administrators can…

Reports on nationwide school improvement trends shown by the following indicators: (1) S.A.T. and A.C.T. scores, (2) school dropout rates, (3) preprimary enrollment rates, (4) increased numbers of required courses, and (5) the 1985 Gallup Poll of the Public's Attitude Toward the Public Schools. Six charts are included. (IW)