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Haiyan Liu; Wen Qu; Zhiyong Zhang; Hao Wu – Grantee Submission, 2022
Bayesian inference for structural equation models (SEMs) is increasingly popular in social and psychological sciences owing to its flexibility to adapt to more complex models and the ability to include prior information if available. However, there are two major hurdles in using the traditional Bayesian SEM in practice: (1) the information nested…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Structural Equation Models, Statistical Inference, Statistical Distributions
Carlon, May Kristine Jonson; Cross, Jeffrey S. – Open Education Studies, 2022
Adaptive learning is provided in intelligent tutoring systems (ITS) to enable learners with varying abilities to meet their expected learning outcomes. Despite the personalized learning afforded by ITSes using adaptive learning, learners are still susceptible to shallow learning. Introducing metacognitive tutoring to teach learners how to be aware…
Descriptors: Intelligent Tutoring Systems, Metacognition, Cognitive Processes, Difficulty Level
Shu, Tian; Luo, Guanzhong; Luo, Zhaosheng; Yu, Xiaofeng; Guo, Xiaojun; Li, Yujun – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2023
Cognitive diagnosis models (CDMs) are the statistical framework for cognitive diagnostic assessment in education and psychology. They generally assume that subjects' latent attributes are dichotomous--mastery or nonmastery, which seems quite deterministic. As an alternative to dichotomous attribute mastery, attention is drawn to the use of a…
Descriptors: Cognitive Measurement, Models, Diagnostic Tests, Accuracy
Yao, Yuling; Vehtari, Aki; Gelman, Andrew – Grantee Submission, 2022
When working with multimodal Bayesian posterior distributions, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have difficulty moving between modes, and default variational or mode-based approximate inferences will understate posterior uncertainty. And, even if the most important modes can be found, it is difficult to evaluate their relative weights in…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Computation, Markov Processes, Monte Carlo Methods
Fox, Jean-Paul; Wenzel, Jeremias; Klotzke, Konrad – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2021
Standard item response theory (IRT) models have been extended with testlet effects to account for the nesting of items; these are well known as (Bayesian) testlet models or random effect models for testlets. The testlet modeling framework has several disadvantages. A sufficient number of testlet items are needed to estimate testlet effects, and a…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Tests, Item Response Theory, Hierarchical Linear Modeling
Lozano, José H.; Revuelta, Javier – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2023
The present paper introduces a general multidimensional model to measure individual differences in learning within a single administration of a test. Learning is assumed to result from practicing the operations involved in solving the items. The model accounts for the possibility that the ability to learn may manifest differently for correct and…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Learning Processes, Test Items, Item Analysis
Shen, Ting; Konstantopoulos, Spyros – Journal of Experimental Education, 2022
Large-scale education data are collected via complex sampling designs that incorporate clustering and unequal probability of selection. Multilevel models are often utilized to account for clustering effects. The probability weighted approach (PWA) has been frequently used to deal with the unequal probability of selection. In this study, we examine…
Descriptors: Data Collection, Educational Research, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Bayesian Statistics
Meng, Lingling; Zhang, Mingxin; Zhang, Wanxue; Chu, Yu – Interactive Learning Environments, 2021
Bayesian knowledge tracing model (BKT) is a typical student knowledge assessment method. It is widely used in intelligent tutoring systems. In the standard BKT model, all knowledge and skills are independent of each other. However, in the process of student learning, they have a very close relation. A student may understand knowledge B better when…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Intelligent Tutoring Systems, Student Evaluation, Knowledge Level
van der Linden, Wim J.; Ren, Hao – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2020
The Bayesian way of accounting for the effects of error in the ability and item parameters in adaptive testing is through the joint posterior distribution of all parameters. An optimized Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for adaptive testing is presented, which samples this distribution in real time to score the examinee's ability and optimally…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Adaptive Testing, Error of Measurement, Markov Processes
Wang, Xiaoqing; Wu, Haotian; Feng, Xiangnan; Song, Xinyuan – Sociological Methods & Research, 2021
Given the questionnaire design and the nature of the problem, partially ordered data that are neither completely ordered nor completely unordered are frequently encountered in social, behavioral, and medical studies. However, early developments in partially ordered data analysis are very limited and restricted only to cross-sectional data. In this…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Health Behavior, Smoking, Case Studies
Liu, Yang; Wang, Xiaojing – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2020
Parametric methods, such as autoregressive models or latent growth modeling, are usually inflexible to model the dependence and nonlinear effects among the changes of latent traits whenever the time gap is irregular and the recorded time points are individually varying. Often in practice, the growth trend of latent traits is subject to certain…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Nonparametric Statistics, Regression (Statistics), Item Response Theory
Levy, Roy – Educational Measurement: Issues and Practice, 2020
In this digital ITEMS module, Dr. Roy Levy describes Bayesian approaches to psychometric modeling. He discusses how Bayesian inference is a mechanism for reasoning in a probability-modeling framework and is well-suited to core problems in educational measurement: reasoning from student performances on an assessment to make inferences about their…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Psychometrics, Item Response Theory, Statistical Inference
Babcock, Ben; Hodge, Kari J. – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2020
Equating and scaling in the context of small sample exams, such as credentialing exams for highly specialized professions, has received increased attention in recent research. Investigators have proposed a variety of both classical and Rasch-based approaches to the problem. This study attempts to extend past research by (1) directly comparing…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Equated Scores, Scaling, Sample Size
Yamaguchi, Kazuhiro – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2023
Understanding whether or not different types of students master various attributes can aid future learning remediation. In this study, two-level diagnostic classification models (DCMs) were developed to represent the probabilistic relationship between external latent classes and attribute mastery patterns. Furthermore, variational Bayesian (VB)…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Classification, Statistical Inference, Sampling
Johnson, Marina E.; Misra, Ram; Berenson, Mark – Decision Sciences Journal of Innovative Education, 2022
In the era of artificial intelligence (AI), big data (BD), and digital transformation (DT), analytics students should gain the ability to solve business problems by integrating various methods. This teaching brief illustrates how two such methods--Bayesian analysis and Markov chains--can be combined to enhance student learning using the Analytics…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Programming Languages, Artificial Intelligence, Data Analysis