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Jo, Booil; Stuart, Elizabeth A. – Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2012
The authors thank Dr. Lindsay Page for providing a nice illustration of the use of the principal stratification framework to define causal effects, and a Bayesian model for effect estimation. They hope that her well-written article will help expose education researchers to these concepts and methods, and move the field of mediation analysis in…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Educational Experiments, Educational Research, Observation
Shrout, Patrick E. – Multivariate Behavioral Research, 2011
Maxwell, Cole, and Mitchell (2011) extended the work of Maxwell and Cole (2007), which raised important questions about whether mediation analyses based on cross-sectional data can shed light on longitudinal mediation process. The latest article considers longitudinal processes that can only be partially explained by an intervening variable, and…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Psychopathology, Peer Mediation, Longitudinal Studies
Griffiths, Thomas L.; Tenenbaum, Joshua B. – Cognition, 2007
People's reactions to coincidences are often cited as an illustration of the irrationality of human reasoning about chance. We argue that coincidences may be better understood in terms of rational statistical inference, based on their functional role in processes of causal discovery and theory revision. We present a formal definition of…
Descriptors: Probability, Statistical Inference, Bayesian Statistics, Theories