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Klabbers, Jan H. G. – Simulation and Games, 1985
Links forecasting and planning with policymaking in social and societal systems and presents a planning and forecasting methods taxonomy which combines with policymaking and interactive simulation as an inquiry method for planning. A case study of university manpower development illustrating interactive simulation/gaming and its potentials for…
Descriptors: Case Studies, Classification, Computer Simulation, Decision Making
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Caulkins, Jonathan P. – Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 2002
In this article, the author discusses the use in policy analysis of models that incorporate uncertainty. He believes that all models should consider incorporating uncertainty, but that at the same time it is important to understand that sampling variability is not usually the dominant driver of uncertainty in policy analyses. He also argues that…
Descriptors: Statistical Inference, Models, Policy Analysis, Sampling