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Hotaling, Jared M.; Busemeyer, Jerome R.; Li, Jiyun – Psychological Review, 2010
Tsetsos, Usher, and Chater (2010) presented several criticisms of decision field theory (DFT) involving its distance function, instability under externally controlled stopping times, and lack of robustness to various multialternative choice scenarios. Here, we counter those claims with a specification of a distance function based on the…
Descriptors: Criticism, Decision Making, Prediction, Models
Ghaffarzadegan, Navid; Stewart, Thomas R. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2011
Elwin, Juslin, Olsson, and Enkvist (2007) and Henriksson, Elwin, and Juslin (2010) offered the constructivist coding hypothesis to describe how people code the outcomes of their decisions when availability of feedback is conditional on the decision. They provided empirical evidence only for the 0.5 base rate condition. This commentary argues that…
Descriptors: Decision Making, Feedback (Response), Constructivism (Learning), Hypothesis Testing
Usher, Marius; Tsetsos, Konstantinos; Chater, Nick – Psychological Review, 2010
In this post scrit, the authors discuss an article by Hotaling, Busemeyer, and Li which provided a valuable reply to the challenges the current authors raised for the decision field theory (DFT) account of preference reversal in multiattribute choice. They agree with Hotaling, Busemeyer, and Li's observation that with the addition of an internal…
Descriptors: Prediction, Models, Decision Making, Experiments
Krettenauer, Tobias – New Directions for Youth Development, 2012
This article addresses the question of why the emotions children and adolescents anticipate in the context of hypothetical scenarios have been repeatedly found to predict actual (im)moral behavior. It argues that a common motivational account of this relationship is insufficient. Instead, three links are proposed that connect cognitive…
Descriptors: Adolescents, Emotional Response, Moral Development, Ethical Instruction
Birnbaum, Michael H. – Psychological Review, 2008
E. Brandstatter, G. Gigerenzer, and R. Hertwig (2006) contended that their priority heuristic, a type of lexicographic semiorder model, is more accurate than cumulative prospect theory (CPT) or transfer of attention exchange (TAX) models in describing risky decisions. However, there are 4 problems with their argument. First, their heuristic is not…
Descriptors: Heuristics, Prediction, Risk, Decision Making
Murray, Wayne S.; Forster, Kenneth I. – Psychological Review, 2008
J. S. Adelman and G. D. A. Brown (2008) provided an extensive analysis of the form of word frequency and contextual diversity effects on lexical decision time. In this reply, the current authors suggest that their analysis provides a valuable tool for the evaluation of models of lexical access and that the results they report are broadly…
Descriptors: Reaction Time, Word Recognition, Word Frequency, Decision Making
Cummings, Robert – World Future Society Bulletin, 1983
Social theories have long proclaimed the advent of the postindustrial era. In this era, a new paradigm will emerge which will utilize negotiation as the major problem-solving strategy; planning which emphasizes process rather than goal; and change strategies emphasizing the client, group dynamics, and knowledge from the behavioral sciences.…
Descriptors: Cognitive Processes, Decision Making, Futures (of Society), Industrialization

Trad, Paul V. – Adolescence, 1993
Suggests that previewing, process by which caregivers introduce infants to the physical sensations of imminent developmental change and the implications of such change on their relationship, may affect adolescent's ability to predict upcoming change. Explores previewing skills during adolescent years and how this capacity affects adolescent's…
Descriptors: Adolescents, At Risk Persons, Decision Making, Planning

Hays, Donald G. – NASSP Bulletin, 1987
Effective school counselors must meet the challenges of predicting and planning for alternative futures. A futures perspective rests on a framework composed of five elements: guiding images, alternative choices, holistic thinking, extended time frame, and purposeful action. (MD)
Descriptors: Counseling Services, Counselors, Decision Making, Elementary Secondary Education
Loye, David – World Future Society Bulletin, 1983
By thinking about and trying to predict the future, we force ourselves to articulate our feelings and thoughts about that future. A technique using intuitive and logical thinking based on right brain-left brain differences is proposed to aid in decision making by both groups and individuals. (Author/IS)
Descriptors: Cerebral Dominance, Decision Making, Delphi Technique, Futures (of Society)
Trafimow, David; Rice, Stephen – Psychological Review, 2008
People can use a variety of different strategies to perform tasks and these strategies all have two characteristics in common. First, they can be evaluated in comparison with either an absolute or a relative standard. Second, they can be used at varying levels of consistency. In the present article, the authors develop a general theory of task…
Descriptors: Behavior Theories, Performance, Scores, Performance Factors
Lloyd, David – 1999
Over the last ten or so years this researcher's educational focus has been on providing a science education program that is both liberating and empowering for students. Although there have been a number of motivating themes, the central one has been his work with student images of the future. He has taken these seriously and used them to inform by…
Descriptors: Decision Making, Foreign Countries, Futures (of Society), Learning
Dede, Christopher; Kierstead, Fred – 1984
This paper focuses on how educational decision-makers can make use of futures research through a better understanding of forecasters' perspectives. Eight problems in communicating that are significant in contributing to poor usage of forecasts by educational decision-makers are: (1) overuse of jargon, (2) preoccupation with technological…
Descriptors: Communication Problems, Decision Making, Educational Research, Elementary Secondary Education
Slaughter, Richard A. – World Future Society Bulletin, 1984
Key assumptions, ideology, and biases of future studies are critiqued in an attempt to enhance the field's applicability and impact throughout the world. (RM)
Descriptors: Bias, Decision Making, Futures (of Society), Higher Education
Vaughan, Jerry L. – 1980
A rationale and plan are presented for implementing a futures approach in many areas of community college activities. After the introduction, the paper cites several characteristics of the community college and its mission which mandate planned experimentation and innovation. Next, the relationship of future studies to the educational system as a…
Descriptors: College Administration, College Curriculum, College Planning, Community Colleges