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Hinterecker, Thomas; Knauff, Markus; Johnson-Laird, P. N. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2019
Individuals draw conclusions about possibilities from assertions that make no explicit reference to them. The model theory postulates that assertions such as disjunctions refer to possibilities. Hence, a disjunction of the sort, "A or B or both," where "A" and "B" are sensible clauses, yields mental models of an…
Descriptors: Logical Thinking, Abstract Reasoning, Inferences, Probability
Oaksford, Mike; Over, David; Cruz, Nicole – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2019
Hinterecker, Knauff, and Johnson-Laird (2016) compared the adequacy of the probabilistic new paradigm in reasoning with the recent revision of mental models theory (MMT) for explaining a novel class of inferences containing the modal term "possibly." For example, "the door is closed or the window is open or both," therefore,…
Descriptors: Models, Probability, Inferences, Logical Thinking
Zettersten, Martin; Schonberg, Christina; Lupyan, Gary – First Language, 2020
This article reviews two aspects of human learning: (1) people draw inferences that appear to rely on hierarchical conceptual representations; (2) some categories are much easier to learn than others given the same number of exemplars, and some categories remain difficult despite extensive training. Both of these results are difficult to reconcile…
Descriptors: Models, Language Acquisition, Prediction, Language Processing
Rose, Yvan – First Language, 2020
Ambridge's proposal cannot account for the most basic observations about phonological patterns in human languages. Outside of the earliest stages of phonological production by toddlers, the phonological systems of speakers/learners exhibit internal behaviours that point to the representation and processing of inter-related units ranging in size…
Descriptors: Phonology, Language Patterns, Toddlers, Language Processing
Gabriele, Alison – Second Language Research, 2021
This commentary discusses Westergaard's (2021) keynote article, which presents a comprehensive model of first language (L1), second language (L2), and third language (L3) acquisition. The commentary presents evidence from a previous study of L3 learners that provides support for Westergaard's property-by-property transfer proposal. The commentary…
Descriptors: Multilingualism, Second Language Learning, Native Language, Linguistic Theory
Bentler, Peter M. – Measurement: Interdisciplinary Research and Perspectives, 2016
The latent factor in a causal indicator model is no more than the latent factor of the factor part of the model. However, if the causal indicator variables are well-understood and help to improve the prediction of individuals' factor scores, they can help to interpret the meaning of the latent factor. Aguirre-Urreta, Rönkkö, and Marakas (2016)…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Factor Analysis, Prediction, Scores
Gilead, Tal – Educational Theory, 2014
By critically interrogating the methodological foundations of orthodox economic theory, Tal Gilead challenges the growing conviction in educational policymaking quarters that, being more scientific than other forms of educational investigation, inquiries grounded in orthodox economics should provide the basis for educational policymaking. He…
Descriptors: Educational Policy, Policy Formation, Economics, Theories
Maertz, Carl P., Jr. – Psychological Bulletin, 2012
In "Reviewing Employee Turnover: Focusing on Proximal Withdrawal States and an Expanded Criterion," Hom, Mitchell, Lee, and Griffeth (2012) brought together many of the most important content and process factors in the employee turnover literature. In this paper, I attempt to clarify the true contributions of this framework for the turnover area…
Descriptors: Labor Turnover, Social Studies, Models, Prediction
Edelsbrunner, Peter; Schneider, Michael – Frontline Learning Research, 2013
Musso et al. (2013) predict students' academic achievement with high accuracy one year in advance from cognitive and demographic variables, using artificial neural networks (ANNs). They conclude that ANNs have high potential for theoretical and practical improvements in learning sciences. ANNs are powerful statistical modelling tools but they can…
Descriptors: Prediction, Statistical Analysis, Structural Equation Models, Academic Achievement
Noles, Nicholaus S.; Gelman, Susan A. – Developmental Psychology, 2012
Sloutsky and Fisher (2012) attempt to reframe the results presented in Noles and Gelman (2012) as a pure replication of their original work validating the similarity, induction, naming, and categorization (SINC) model. However, their critique fails to engage with the central findings reported in Noles and Gelman, and their reanalysis fails to…
Descriptors: Pragmatics, Classification, Comparative Analysis, Models
Bhatt, Rakesh M. – Bilingualism: Language and Cognition, 2013
Pieter Muysken's keynote paper, "Language contact outcomes as a result of bilingual optimization strategies", undertakes an ambitious project to theoretically unify different empirical outcomes of language contact, for instance, SLA, pidgins and Creoles, and code-switching. Muysken has dedicated a life-time to researching, rather…
Descriptors: Bilingualism, Pidgins, Creoles, Language Research
Starns, Jeffrey J.; Rotello, Caren M.; Ratcliff, Roger – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2012
Koen and Yonelinas (2010; K&Y) reported that mixing classes of targets that had short (weak) or long (strong) study times had no impact on zROC slope, contradicting the predictions of the encoding variability hypothesis. We show that they actually derived their predictions from a mixture unequal-variance signal detection (UVSD) model, which…
Descriptors: Evidence, Prediction, Study Habits, Models
Griffiths, Thomas L.; Chater, Nick; Norris, Dennis; Pouget, Alexandre – Psychological Bulletin, 2012
Bowers and Davis (2012) criticize Bayesian modelers for telling "just so" stories about cognition and neuroscience. Their criticisms are weakened by not giving an accurate characterization of the motivation behind Bayesian modeling or the ways in which Bayesian models are used and by not evaluating this theoretical framework against specific…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Psychology, Brain, Models
Fiedler, Klaus; Kareev, Yaakov – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2011
On the basis of earlier findings, we (Fiedler & Kareev, 2006) presented a statistical decision model that explains the conditions under which small samples of information about choice alternatives inform more correct choices than large samples. Such a small-sample advantage (SSA) is predicted for choices, not estimations. It is contingent on high…
Descriptors: Sample Size, Information Theory, Prediction, Selection
Hotaling, Jared M.; Busemeyer, Jerome R.; Li, Jiyun – Psychological Review, 2010
Tsetsos, Usher, and Chater (2010) presented several criticisms of decision field theory (DFT) involving its distance function, instability under externally controlled stopping times, and lack of robustness to various multialternative choice scenarios. Here, we counter those claims with a specification of a distance function based on the…
Descriptors: Criticism, Decision Making, Prediction, Models