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Schimmack, Ulrich – Psychological Methods, 2012
Cohen (1962) pointed out the importance of statistical power for psychology as a science, but statistical power of studies has not increased, while the number of studies in a single article has increased. It has been overlooked that multiple studies with modest power have a high probability of producing nonsignificant results because power…
Descriptors: Psychological Studies, Statistical Analysis, Probability, Statistical Significance
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Miller, Jeff; Schwarz, Wolf – Psychological Methods, 2011
We study a model of the research process in which the true effect size, the replication jitter due to changes in experimental procedure, and the statistical error of effect size measurement are all normally distributed random variables. Within this model, we analyze the probability of successfully replicating an initial experimental result by…
Descriptors: Models, Research, Effect Size, Probability
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Manolov, Rumen; Solanas, Antonio – Psychological Methods, 2012
There is currently a considerable diversity of quantitative measures available for summarizing the results in single-case studies. Given that the interpretation of some of them is difficult due to the lack of established benchmarks, the current article proposes an approach for obtaining further numerical evidence on the importance of the results,…
Descriptors: Sampling, Probability, Statistical Significance, Case Studies
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Klugkist, Irene; Laudy, Olav; Hoijtink, Herbert – Psychological Methods, 2010
In this article, a Bayesian model selection approach is introduced that can select the best of a set of inequality and equality constrained hypotheses for contingency tables. The hypotheses are presented in terms of cell probabilities allowing researchers to test (in)equality constrained hypotheses in a format that is directly related to the data.…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Selection, Probability
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Harder, Valerie S.; Stuart, Elizabeth A.; Anthony, James C. – Psychological Methods, 2010
There is considerable interest in using propensity score (PS) statistical techniques to address questions of causal inference in psychological research. Many PS techniques exist, yet few guidelines are available to aid applied researchers in their understanding, use, and evaluation. In this study, the authors give an overview of available…
Descriptors: Psychological Studies, Probability, Statistical Analysis, Statistical Inference
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Kuiper, Rebecca M.; Hoijtink, Herbert – Psychological Methods, 2010
This article discusses comparisons of means using exploratory and confirmatory approaches. Three methods are discussed: hypothesis testing, model selection based on information criteria, and Bayesian model selection. Throughout the article, an example is used to illustrate and evaluate the two approaches and the three methods. We demonstrate that…
Descriptors: Models, Testing, Hypothesis Testing, Probability
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Trafimow, David; MacDonald, Justin A.; Rice, Stephen; Clason, Dennis L. – Psychological Methods, 2010
Largely due to dissatisfaction with the standard null hypothesis significance testing procedure, researchers have begun to consider alternatives. For example, Killeen (2005a) has argued that researchers should calculate p[subscript rep] that is purported to indicate the probability that, if the experiment in question were replicated, the obtained…
Descriptors: Probability, Replication (Evaluation), Statistics, Comparative Analysis
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Keselman, H. J.; Miller, Charles W.; Holland, Burt – Psychological Methods, 2011
There have been many discussions of how Type I errors should be controlled when many hypotheses are tested (e.g., all possible comparisons of means, correlations, proportions, the coefficients in hierarchical models, etc.). By and large, researchers have adopted familywise (FWER) control, though this practice certainly is not universal. Familywise…
Descriptors: Validity, Statistical Significance, Probability, Computation
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Maraun, Michael; Gabriel, Stephanie – Psychological Methods, 2010
In his article, "An Alternative to Null-Hypothesis Significance Tests," Killeen (2005) urged the discipline to abandon the practice of "p[subscript obs]"-based null hypothesis testing and to quantify the signal-to-noise characteristics of experimental outcomes with replication probabilities. He described the coefficient that he…
Descriptors: Hypothesis Testing, Statistical Inference, Probability, Statistical Significance
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Serlin, Ronald C. – Psychological Methods, 2010
The sense that replicability is an important aspect of empirical science led Killeen (2005a) to define "p[subscript rep]," the probability that a replication will result in an outcome in the same direction as that found in a current experiment. Since then, several authors have praised and criticized 'p[subscript rep]," culminating…
Descriptors: Epistemology, Effect Size, Replication (Evaluation), Measurement Techniques
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Ozechowski, Timothy J.; Turner, Charles W.; Hops, Hyman – Psychological Methods, 2007
This article demonstrates the use of mixed-effects logistic regression (MLR) for conducting sequential analyses of binary observational data. MLR is a special case of the mixed-effects logit modeling framework, which may be applied to multicategorical observational data. The MLR approach is motivated in part by G. A. Dagne, G. W. Howe, C. H.…
Descriptors: Probability, Young Adults, Sampling, Observation