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Jeff Coon; Paulina N. Silva; Alexander Etz; Barbara W. Sarnecka – Journal of Cognition and Development, 2025
Bayesian methods offer many advantages when applied to psychological research, yet they may seem esoteric to researchers who are accustomed to traditional methods. This paper aims to lower the barrier of entry for developmental psychologists who are interested in using Bayesian methods. We provide worked examples of how to analyze common study…
Descriptors: Developmental Psychology, Bayesian Statistics, Research Methodology, Psychological Studies
Karyssa A. Courey; Frederick L. Oswald; Steven A. Culpepper – Practical Assessment, Research & Evaluation, 2024
Historically, organizational researchers have fully embraced frequentist statistics and null hypothesis significance testing (NHST). Bayesian statistics is an underused alternative paradigm offering numerous benefits for organizational researchers and practitioners: e.g., accumulating direct evidence for the null hypothesis (vs. 'fail to reject…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Distributions, Researchers, Institutional Research
Kreitchmann, Rodrigo S.; Sorrel, Miguel A.; Abad, Francisco J. – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2023
Multidimensional forced-choice (FC) questionnaires have been consistently found to reduce the effects of socially desirable responding and faking in noncognitive assessments. Although FC has been considered problematic for providing ipsative scores under the classical test theory, item response theory (IRT) models enable the estimation of…
Descriptors: Measurement Techniques, Questionnaires, Social Desirability, Adaptive Testing
Jorge N. Tendeiro; Rink Hoekstra; Tsz Keung Wong; Henk A. L. Kiers – Teaching Statistics: An International Journal for Teachers, 2025
Most researchers receive formal training in frequentist statistics during their undergraduate studies. In particular, hypothesis testing is usually rooted on the null hypothesis significance testing paradigm and its p-value. Null hypothesis Bayesian testing and its so-called Bayes factor are now becoming increasingly popular. Although the Bayes…
Descriptors: Statistics Education, Teaching Methods, Programming Languages, Bayesian Statistics
Rosa W. Runhardt – Sociological Methods & Research, 2024
This article uses the interventionist theory of causation, a counterfactual theory taken from philosophy of science, to strengthen causal analysis in process tracing research. Causal claims from process tracing are re-expressed in terms of so-called hypothetical interventions, and concrete evidential tests are proposed which are shown to…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Intervention, Investigations
Wyse, Adam E.; McBride, James R. – Measurement: Interdisciplinary Research and Perspectives, 2022
A common practical challenge is how to assign ability estimates to all incorrect and all correct response patterns when using item response theory (IRT) models and maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) since ability estimates for these types of responses equal -8 or +8. This article uses a simulation study and data from an operational K-12…
Descriptors: Scores, Adaptive Testing, Computer Assisted Testing, Test Length
Xiao Liu; Zhiyong Zhang; Lijuan Wang – Grantee Submission, 2022
Mediation analysis is widely used to study whether the effect of an independent variable on an outcome is transmitted through a mediator. Bayesian methods have become increasingly popular for mediation analysis. However, limited research has been done on formal Bayesian hypothesis testing of mediation. Although hypothesis testing using Bayes…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Hypothesis Testing, Mediation Theory, Vignettes
Xiao Liu; Zhiyong Zhang; Lijuan Wang – Grantee Submission, 2024
In psychology, researchers are often interested in testing hypotheses about mediation, such as testing the presence of a mediation effect of a treatment (e.g., intervention assignment) on an outcome via a mediator. An increasingly popular approach to testing hypotheses is the Bayesian testing approach with Bayes factors (BFs). Despite the growing…
Descriptors: Sample Size, Bayesian Statistics, Programming Languages, Simulation
Sarah Depaoli; Sonja D. Winter; Haiyan Liu – Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 2024
We extended current knowledge by examining the performance of several Bayesian model fit and comparison indices through a simulation study using the confirmatory factor analysis. Our goal was to determine whether commonly implemented Bayesian indices can detect specification errors. Specifically, we wanted to uncover any differences in detecting…
Descriptors: Structural Equation Models, Bayesian Statistics, Comparative Testing, Evaluation Utilization
Zhang, Susu; Li, Anqi; Wang, Shiyu – Educational Measurement: Issues and Practice, 2023
In computer-based tests allowing revision and reviews, examinees' sequence of visits and answer changes to questions can be recorded. The variable-length revision log data introduce new complexities to the collected data but, at the same time, provide additional information on examinees' test-taking behavior, which can inform test development and…
Descriptors: Computer Assisted Testing, Test Construction, Test Wiseness, Test Items
Bayesian Logistic Regression: A New Method to Calibrate Pretest Items in Multistage Adaptive Testing
TsungHan Ho – Applied Measurement in Education, 2023
An operational multistage adaptive test (MST) requires the development of a large item bank and the effort to continuously replenish the item bank due to concerns about test security and validity over the long term. New items should be pretested and linked to the item bank before being used operationally. The linking item volume fluctuations in…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Regression (Statistics), Test Items, Pretesting
Yang Du; Susu Zhang – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2025
Item compromise has long posed challenges in educational measurement, jeopardizing both test validity and test security of continuous tests. Detecting compromised items is therefore crucial to address this concern. The present literature on compromised item detection reveals two notable gaps: First, the majority of existing methods are based upon…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Item Analysis, Bayesian Statistics, Educational Assessment
Dalia Khairy; Nouf Alharbi; Mohamed A. Amasha; Marwa F. Areed; Salem Alkhalaf; Rania A. Abougalala – Education and Information Technologies, 2024
Student outcomes are of great importance in higher education institutions. Accreditation bodies focus on them as an indicator to measure the performance and effectiveness of the institution. Forecasting students' academic performance is crucial for every educational establishment seeking to enhance performance and perseverance of its students and…
Descriptors: Prediction, Tests, Scores, Information Retrieval
W. Jake Thompson – Grantee Submission, 2024
Diagnostic classification models (DCMs) are psychometric models that can be used to estimate the presence or absence of psychological traits, or proficiency on fine-grained skills. Critical to the use of any psychometric model in practice, including DCMs, is an evaluation of model fit. Traditionally, DCMs have been estimated with maximum…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Classification, Psychometrics, Goodness of Fit
Zhu, Hongyue; Jiao, Hong; Gao, Wei; Meng, Xiangbin – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2023
Change-point analysis (CPA) is a method for detecting abrupt changes in parameter(s) underlying a sequence of random variables. It has been applied to detect examinees' aberrant test-taking behavior by identifying abrupt test performance change. Previous studies utilized maximum likelihood estimations of ability parameters, focusing on detecting…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Test Wiseness, Behavior Problems, Reaction Time

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