Obstacles to producing forecasts of the impact of technological change and skill utilization are briefly discussed, and existing models for forecasting manpower requirements are described and analyzed. A survey of current literature reveals a concentration of models for producing long-range national forecasts, but few models for generating…

Objectives of the project were to identify and describe problem areas and policy issues confronting health manpower planning agencies at all levels, compile an inventory of models and evaluate their usefulness, and to evaluate the potential usefulness of two models (developed under contract to the Bureau of Health Resources Development) designed…

This monograph reviews the development of goal programming models, discusses their current status, and projects research frontiers. An introductory section presents a brief history of the models and acknowledges the work of several authors in the field. The bulk of the paper is devoted to the presentation of aggregate model structures (including…

Findings regarding minority officer procurement in the Armed Forces are analyzed in terms of concepts and standards regarding minority officer representation and of methods for achieving minority representation goals. Chapter 1, Concepts and Standards of Representation, discusses sociopolitical and socioeconomic criteria subdivided through the use…

A model is presented for health manpower planning, designed as a handbook to facilitate the orderly development of health manpower training programs to fill identified needs and job opportunities within a defined geographical region. The handbook is based on the study of the health care system of the Coastal Bend Region of Texas. (NTIS)

A study was conducted to assess the impact of three anticipated changes in the health care system on the future requirements for registered nurses. The changes investigated were the introduction of national health insurance (NHI), the increased enrollment in health maintenance organizations (HMOs), and the reformulation of nursing roles. Following…

Econometric forecasting models were used to forecast employment levels in the hotel and catering industry in Great Britain through 1993 under several different forecasting scenarios. The growth in employment in the hotel and catering industry over the next 5 years is likely to be broadly based, both across income levels of domestic consumers,…

A study was conducted to develop a monitoring system detailing the employment demands in Bridgeport, Connecticut for graduates of the city's vocational and training programs. The project was divided into two phases and involved the collaborative efforts of the educational, community, and business-industrial sectors of Bridgeport. A checklist based…

This study analyzes the mobility of workers initially employed in low-paid occupations who moved to moderately paid occupations, based on 18,347 observations of 1970 Census data, compared to 1965 data. The study relies on the concept of labor segment, which provides an antidote to the individualistic perspective. Two broad segments, a low-paid and…

This report describes Vermont's experience with a program to upgrade the working poor and thus increase their total family income. Upgrading refers to enhancing one's job skills which ultimately will lead to increased earnings within one's given occupation. Employer cooperation was encouraged through use of on-site job facilities where supervised…

The report describes the construction, application, and theoretical implications of an econometric model depicting the effects of labor subsidies on the supply of workers in the U.S. Three papers deal with the following aspects of constructing the econometric model: (1) examination of equilibrium wages, employment, and earnings of primary and…

Proposes social structural view of poverty rates as a function of local opportunity instead of individual-level focus on who is poor. Defines poverty rates as a function of industrial structure and relative power of labor in a locality. Confirms theoretical model with data from 46 South Carolina counties. (LFL)

Recurring evidence that workers with similar skills do not necessarily earn the same wages led to the formulation of an alternative to the conventional market theory, namely, the segmented market theory. This theory posits that certain skills are distributed not among prospective employees but among jobs, in relation to the technology of those…

The final report of the Transitional Employemnt Experimental Model (TEEM) Project, a research and development project providing a potential model for a large scale manpower absorption program in times of economic need, is presented. One major purpose of the project was to demonstrate the viability of providing suitable job placement for the…

Data on the problem of the loss of professional manpower by developing countries to develop countries is reported and analyzed from a survey of over 1,300 foreign students in over 30 U. S. colleges and universities. The ideological and scholarly debate generated by the brain drain and approaches to the study of professional migration are reviewed,…