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Obrecht, Natalie A. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2019
Previous research is mixed regarding whether laypeople are sensitive to sample size. Here the author argues that this is in part because sample size sensitivity follows a curvilinear function with decreasing sensitivity as sample size become larger. This functional form reconciles apparent discrepancies in the literature, accounting for results…
Descriptors: Sample Size, Statistical Inference, Numeracy, Cognitive Processes
Herzog, Stefan M.; Hertwig, Ralph – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2014
Individuals can partly recreate the "wisdom of crowds" within their own minds by combining nonredundant estimates they themselves have generated. Herzog and Hertwig (2009) showed that this accuracy gain could be boosted by urging people to actively think differently when generating a 2nd estimate ("dialectical bootstrapping").…
Descriptors: Sampling, Statistical Inference, Experimental Psychology, Hypothesis Testing