ERIC Number: ED320226
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1990-Jan
Pages: 137
Abstractor: N/A
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
EISSN: N/A
Available Date: N/A
Toward 2000. Trends Report II: Elementary-Secondary Projections.
Press, Harold L.
Comprehensive, systematic planning provides the overall direction for education through the development of policies and objectives. An understanding of demographic, social, and economic trends is necessary for educators to make decisions for the future. The 1986 demographic forecasts for the province of Newfoundland are updated in this report, which focuses on the changing character of the teacher work force, the current status of teacher supply, and the future demand for teachers. Population and enrollment trends of the last 20 years are analyzed to make education projections. Demographic and economic trends suggest that the province will experience a period of contraction in education in the 1990s. Although a decline in population will accompany a decline in the teacher work force, the likely outcome is a general teacher surplus with a marginal shortage in some areas. Viewing teacher supply and demand as a single entity is therefore counterproductive. Recommendations are offered for coping with problems associated with the aging of the teacher work force. The report contains 32 tables and 16 figures based on the Department of Education's computerized databases. Appendices describe the general methodologies employed in the study as well as the survey instruments used to assess demand for various teaching and administrative positions and to measure teacher hirings and vacancies. (LMI)
Descriptors: Declining Enrollment, Demography, Educational Demand, Educational Supply, Educational Trends, Elementary Secondary Education, Employment Projections, Enrollment Influences, Enrollment Projections, Foreign Countries, Futures (of Society), Population Growth, Population Trends, Teacher Employment, Teacher Recruitment, Teacher Shortage, Teacher Supply and Demand
Publication Type: Reports - Research; Tests/Questionnaires
Education Level: N/A
Audience: Policymakers; Researchers; Practitioners
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: Newfoundland and Labrador Dept. of Education.
Identifiers - Location: Canada
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A
Author Affiliations: N/A