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Hits and Misses: Kirby on the Selection Task. Discussion.
Peer reviewed Peer reviewed
Over, D. E.; Evans, J. St. B. T. – Cognition, 1994
Discusses Kris N. Kirby's work on signal detection theory and its application to Watson's selection task. Identifies problems with the design and interpretation of Kirby's card-selection experiments. (DR)
Descriptors: Cost Effectiveness, Logical Thinking, Probability, Research Design
False Alarm: A Reply to Over and Evans. Discussion.
Peer reviewed Peer reviewed
Kirby, Kris N. – Cognition, 1994
Discusses Over and Evans' alternative interpretations to Kris N. Kirby's card-selection tasks and finds empirical difficulties. Cites the potentially important contribution of Over and Evans to understanding of the card-selection task by applying the notion of epistemic utility. (DR)
Descriptors: Cost Effectiveness, Logical Thinking, Probability, Research Design
On the Interpretation of Intuitive Probability: A Reply to Jonathan Cohen.
Peer reviewed Peer reviewed
Kahneman, Daniel; Tversky, Amos – Cognition, 1979
Cohen's (TM 504 890) formal rules of intuitive probability lack normative or descriptive appeal, and his interpretation of the author's findings is not compelling. (CP)
Descriptors: Abstract Reasoning, Logical Thinking, Mathematical Formulas, Prediction
On the Psychology of Prediction: Whose Is the Fallacy?
Peer reviewed Peer reviewed
Cohen, L. Jonathan – Cognition, 1979
Until recently, norms of experimental reasoning have lacked systematic theoretical development. Thus, it has been easy for psychologists like Tversky and Kahneman to misclassify certain human reasoning processes as being Pascalian and invalid, rather than as being Baconian and valid. (CP)
Descriptors: Abstract Reasoning, Cognitive Processes, Higher Education, Logical Thinking