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Camilleri, Adrian R.; Newell, Ben R. – Cognition, 2013
Previous research has shown that many choice biases are attenuated when short-run decisions are reframed to the long run. However, this literature has been limited to description-based choice tasks in which possible outcomes and their probabilities are explicitly specified. A recent literature has emerged showing that many core results found using…
Descriptors: Probability, Sampling, Models, Outcomes of Education
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Koehler, Derek J.; James, Greta – Cognition, 2009
Gaissmaier and Schooler (2008) [Gaissmaier, W., & Schooler, L. J. (2008). "The smart potential behind probability matching." "Cognition, 109," 416-422] argue that probability matching, which has traditionally been viewed as a decision making error, may instead reflect an adaptive response to environments in which outcomes potentially follow…
Descriptors: Intuition, Evaluative Thinking, Probability, Decision Making Skills
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Over, D. E.; Evans, J. St. B. T. – Cognition, 1994
Discusses Kris N. Kirby's work on signal detection theory and its application to Watson's selection task. Identifies problems with the design and interpretation of Kirby's card-selection experiments. (DR)
Descriptors: Cost Effectiveness, Logical Thinking, Probability, Research Design
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Kirby, Kris N. – Cognition, 1994
Discusses Over and Evans' alternative interpretations to Kris N. Kirby's card-selection tasks and finds empirical difficulties. Cites the potentially important contribution of Over and Evans to understanding of the card-selection task by applying the notion of epistemic utility. (DR)
Descriptors: Cost Effectiveness, Logical Thinking, Probability, Research Design