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Trafimow, David – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2017
There has been much controversy over the null hypothesis significance testing procedure, with much of the criticism centered on the problem of inverse inference. Specifically, p gives the probability of the finding (or one more extreme) given the null hypothesis, whereas the null hypothesis significance testing procedure involves drawing a…
Descriptors: Statistical Inference, Hypothesis Testing, Probability, Intervals
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Jamil, Tahira; Marsman, Maarten; Ly, Alexander; Morey, Richard D.; Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2017
In 1881, Donald MacAlister posed a problem in the "Educational Times" that remains relevant today. The problem centers on the statistical evidence for the effectiveness of a treatment based on a comparison between two proportions. A brief historical sketch is followed by a discussion of two default Bayesian solutions, one based on a…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Evidence, Comparative Analysis, Problem Solving
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Yang, Xiangdong – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2007
This article investigates several methods of identifying individual guessers from their response data. Both the posterior probability method and the likelihood ratio method are based on the two-state mixture modeling approach to response times. The accuracy method is based on response accuracy data. Results from the simulation study showed that…
Descriptors: Probability, Simulation, Test Items, Models