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Sao Pedro, Michael A.; Baker, Ryan S. J. d.; Gobert, Janice D. – Grantee Submission, 2012
Data-mined models often achieve good predictive power, but sometimes at the cost of interpretability. We investigate here if selecting features to increase a model's construct validity and interpretability also can improve the model's ability to predict the desired constructs. We do this by taking existing models and reducing the feature set to…
Descriptors: Content Validity, Data Interpretation, Models, Predictive Validity
Sao Pedro, Michael A.; Baker, Ryan S. J. d.; Gobert, Janice D.; Montalvo, Orlando; Nakama, Adam – Grantee Submission, 2013
We present work toward automatically assessing and estimating science inquiry skills as middle school students engage in inquiry within a physical science microworld. Towards accomplishing this goal, we generated machine-learned models that can detect when students test their articulated hypotheses, design controlled experiments, and engage in…
Descriptors: Artificial Intelligence, Inquiry, Middle School Students, Physical Sciences
Sao Pedro, Michael; Jiang, Yang; Paquette, Luc; Baker, Ryan S.; Gobert, Janice – Grantee Submission, 2014
Students conducted inquiry using simulations within a rich learning environment for 4 science topics. By applying educational data mining to students' log data, assessment metrics were generated for two key inquiry skills, testing stated hypotheses and designing controlled experiments. Three models were then developed to analyze the transfer of…
Descriptors: Simulation, Transfer of Training, Bayesian Statistics, Inquiry
Sao Pedro, Michael A.; Baker, Ryan S. J. d.; Gobert, Janice D. – Grantee Submission, 2013
When validating assessment models built with data mining, generalization is typically tested at the student-level, where models are tested on new students. This approach, though, may fail to find cases where model performance suffers if other aspects of those cases relevant to prediction are not well represented. We explore this here by testing if…
Descriptors: Educational Research, Data Collection, Data Analysis, Generalizability Theory
Hershkovitz, Arnon; Baker, Ryan S. J. d.; Gobert, Janice; Wixon, Michael; Sao Pedro, Michael – Grantee Submission, 2013
In recent years, an increasing number of analyses in Learning Analytics and Educational Data Mining (EDM) have adopted a "Discovery with Models" approach, where an existing model is used as a key component in a new EDM/analytics analysis. This article presents a theoretical discussion on the emergence of discovery with models, its…
Descriptors: Learning Analytics, Models, Learning Processes, Case Studies