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Edgar C. Merkle; Oludare Ariyo; Sonja D. Winter; Mauricio Garnier-Villarreal – Grantee Submission, 2023
We review common situations in Bayesian latent variable models where the prior distribution that a researcher specifies differs from the prior distribution used during estimation. These situations can arise from the positive definite requirement on correlation matrices, from sign indeterminacy of factor loadings, and from order constraints on…
Descriptors: Models, Bayesian Statistics, Correlation, Evaluation Methods
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Parian Haghighat; Denisa Gandara; Lulu Kang; Hadis Anahideh – Grantee Submission, 2024
Predictive analytics is widely used in various domains, including education, to inform decision-making and improve outcomes. However, many predictive models are proprietary and inaccessible for evaluation or modification by researchers and practitioners, limiting their accountability and ethical design. Moreover, predictive models are often opaque…
Descriptors: Prediction, Learning Analytics, Multivariate Analysis, Regression (Statistics)
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Jia Liu; Xiangbin Meng; Gongjun Xu; Wei Gao; Ningzhong Shi – Grantee Submission, 2024
In this paper, we develop a mixed stochastic approximation expectation-maximization (MSAEM) algorithm coupled with a Gibbs sampler to compute the marginalized maximum a posteriori estimate (MMAPE) of a confirmatory multidimensional four-parameter normal ogive (M4PNO) model. The proposed MSAEM algorithm not only has the computational advantages of…
Descriptors: Algorithms, Achievement Tests, International Assessment, Foreign Countries
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Charlotte Z. Mann; Adam C. Sales; Johann A. Gagnon-Bartsch – Grantee Submission, 2025
Combining observational and experimental data for causal inference can improve treatment effect estimation. However, many observational data sets cannot be released due to data privacy considerations, so one researcher may not have access to both experimental and observational data. Nonetheless, a small amount of risk of disclosing sensitive…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Analysis, Privacy, Risk
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Oscar Clivio; Avi Feller; Chris Holmes – Grantee Submission, 2024
Reweighting a distribution to minimize a distance to a target distribution is a powerful and flexible strategy for estimating a wide range of causal effects, but can be challenging in practice because optimal weights typically depend on knowledge of the underlying data generating process. In this paper, we focus on design-based weights, which do…
Descriptors: Evaluation Methods, Causal Models, Error of Measurement, Guidelines
Jennifer Hill; George Perrett; Vincent Dorie – Grantee Submission, 2023
Estimation of causal effects requires making comparisons across groups of observations exposed and not exposed to a a treatment or cause (intervention, program, drug, etc). To interpret differences between groups causally we need to ensure that they have been constructed in such a way that the comparisons are "fair." This can be…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Artificial Intelligence, Data Analysis
Chenchen Ma; Jing Ouyang; Gongjun Xu – Grantee Submission, 2023
Cognitive Diagnosis Models (CDMs) are a special family of discrete latent variable models that are widely used in educational and psychological measurement. A key component of CDMs is the Q-matrix characterizing the dependence structure between the items and the latent attributes. Additionally, researchers also assume in many applications certain…
Descriptors: Psychological Evaluation, Clinical Diagnosis, Item Analysis, Algorithms
Vincent Dorie; George Perrett; Jennifer L. Hill; Benjamin Goodrich – Grantee Submission, 2022
A wide range of machine-learning-based approaches have been developed in the past decade, increasing our ability to accurately model nonlinear and nonadditive response surfaces. This has improved performance for inferential tasks such as estimating average treatment effects in situations where standard parametric models may not fit the data well.…
Descriptors: Statistical Inference, Causal Models, Artificial Intelligence, Data Analysis
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Sami Baral; Eamon Worden; Wen-Chiang Lim; Zhuang Luo; Christopher Santorelli; Ashish Gurung; Neil Heffernan – Grantee Submission, 2024
The effectiveness of feedback in enhancing learning outcomes is well documented within Educational Data Mining (EDM). Various prior research have explored methodologies to enhance the effectiveness of feedback to students in various ways. Recent developments in Large Language Models (LLMs) have extended their utility in enhancing automated…
Descriptors: Automation, Scoring, Computer Assisted Testing, Natural Language Processing
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Andrew M. Olney – Grantee Submission, 2023
Multiple choice questions are traditionally expensive to produce. Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have led to fine-tuned LLMs that generate questions competitive with human-authored questions. However, the relative capabilities of ChatGPT-family models have not yet been established for this task. We present a carefully-controlled…
Descriptors: Test Construction, Multiple Choice Tests, Test Items, Algorithms
Botarleanu, Robert-Mihai; Dascalu, Mihai; Allen, Laura K.; Crossley, Scott Andrew; McNamara, Danielle S. – Grantee Submission, 2021
Text summarization is an effective reading comprehension strategy. However, summary evaluation is complex and must account for various factors including the summary and the reference text. This study examines a corpus of approximately 3,000 summaries based on 87 reference texts, with each summary being manually scored on a 4-point Likert scale.…
Descriptors: Computer Assisted Testing, Scoring, Natural Language Processing, Computer Software
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Amy Adair; Ellie Segan; Janice Gobert; Michael Sao Pedro – Grantee Submission, 2023
Developing models and using mathematics are two key practices in internationally recognized science education standards, such as the Next Generation Science Standards (NGSS). However, students often struggle with these two intersecting practices, particularly when developing mathematical models about scientific phenomena. Formative…
Descriptors: Artificial Intelligence, Mathematical Models, Science Process Skills, Inquiry
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Chengyu Cui; Chun Wang; Gongjun Xu – Grantee Submission, 2024
Multidimensional item response theory (MIRT) models have generated increasing interest in the psychometrics literature. Efficient approaches for estimating MIRT models with dichotomous responses have been developed, but constructing an equally efficient and robust algorithm for polytomous models has received limited attention. To address this gap,…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Accuracy, Simulation, Psychometrics
Ji-Eun Lee; Amisha Jindal; Sanika Nitin Patki; Ashish Gurung; Reilly Norum; Erin Ottmar – Grantee Submission, 2023
This paper demonstrated how to apply Machine Learning (ML) techniques to analyze student interaction data collected in an online mathematics game. Using a data-driven approach, we examined: (1) how different ML algorithms influenced the precision of middle-school students' (N = 359) performance (i.e. posttest math knowledge scores) prediction; and…
Descriptors: Teaching Methods, Algorithms, Mathematics Tests, Computer Games
Marilena Panaite; Mihai Dascalu; Amy Johnson; Renu Balyan; Jianmin Dai; Danielle S. McNamara; Stefan Trausan-Matu – Grantee Submission, 2018
Intelligent Tutoring Systems (ITSs) are aimed at promoting acquisition of knowledge and skills by providing relevant and appropriate feedback during students' practice activities. ITSs for literacy instruction commonly assess typed responses using Natural Language Processing (NLP) algorithms. One step in this direction often requires building a…
Descriptors: Intelligent Tutoring Systems, Artificial Intelligence, Algorithms, Decision Making
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