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Direct linkTamara Broderick; Andrew Gelman; Rachael Meager; Anna L. Smith; Tian Zheng – Grantee Submission, 2022
Probabilistic machine learning increasingly informs critical decisions in medicine, economics, politics, and beyond. To aid the development of trust in these decisions, we develop a taxonomy delineating where trust in an analysis can break down: (1) in the translation of real-world goals to goals on a particular set of training data, (2) in the…
Descriptors: Taxonomy, Trust (Psychology), Algorithms, Probability
Batley, Prathiba Natesan; Minka, Tom; Hedges, Larry Vernon – Grantee Submission, 2020
Immediacy is one of the necessary criteria to show strong evidence of treatment effect in single case experimental designs (SCEDs). With the exception of Natesan and Hedges (2017) no inferential statistical tool has been used to demonstrate or quantify it until now. We investigate and quantify immediacy by treating the change-points between the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Monte Carlo Methods, Statistical Inference, Markov Processes
