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Xiao Liu; Zhiyong Zhang; Lijuan Wang – Grantee Submission, 2024
In psychology, researchers are often interested in testing hypotheses about mediation, such as testing the presence of a mediation effect of a treatment (e.g., intervention assignment) on an outcome via a mediator. An increasingly popular approach to testing hypotheses is the Bayesian testing approach with Bayes factors (BFs). Despite the growing…
Descriptors: Sample Size, Bayesian Statistics, Programming Languages, Simulation
Edgar C. Merkle; Oludare Ariyo; Sonja D. Winter; Mauricio Garnier-Villarreal – Grantee Submission, 2023
We review common situations in Bayesian latent variable models where the prior distribution that a researcher specifies differs from the prior distribution used during estimation. These situations can arise from the positive definite requirement on correlation matrices, from sign indeterminacy of factor loadings, and from order constraints on…
Descriptors: Models, Bayesian Statistics, Correlation, Evaluation Methods
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Mauricio Garnier-Villarreal; Terrence D. Jorgensen – Grantee Submission, 2024
Model evaluation is a crucial step in SEM, consisting of two broad areas: global and local fit, where local fit indices are use to modify the original model. In the modification process, the modification index (MI) and the standardized expected parameter change (SEPC) are used to select the parameters that can be added to improve the fit. The…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Structural Equation Models, Goodness of Fit, Indexes
Shengyu Jiang; Jiaying Xiao; Chun Wang – Grantee Submission, 2022
An online learning system has the capacity to offer customized content that caters to individual learner's need and has seen growing interest from industry and academia alike in recent years. Different from traditional computerized adaptive testing setting which has a well-calibrated item bank with new items periodically added, online learning…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Item Banks, Bayesian Statistics, Learning Management Systems
David Kaplan; Jianshen Chen; Weicong Lyu; Sinan Yavuz – Grantee Submission, 2023
The purpose of this paper is to extend and evaluate methods of "Bayesian historical borrowing" applied to longitudinal data with a focus on parameter recovery and predictive performance. Bayesian historical borrowing allows researchers to utilize information from previous data sources and to adjust the extent of borrowing based on the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Longitudinal Studies, Children, Surveys
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Dongho Shin – Grantee Submission, 2024
We consider Bayesian estimation of a hierarchical linear model (HLM) from small sample sizes. The continuous response Y and covariates C are partially observed and assumed missing at random. With C having linear effects, the HLM may be efficiently estimated by available methods. When C includes cluster-level covariates having interactive or other…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Computation, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Data Analysis
Du, Han; Enders, Craig; Keller, Brian; Bradbury, Thomas N.; Karney, Benjamin R. – Grantee Submission, 2022
Missing data are exceedingly common across a variety of disciplines, such as educational, social, and behavioral science areas. Missing not at random (MNAR) mechanism where missingness is related to unobserved data is widespread in real data and has detrimental consequence. However, the existing MNAR-based methods have potential problems such as…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Data Analysis, Computer Simulation, Sample Size
Merkle, Edgar C.; Fitzsimmons, Ellen; Uanhoro, James; Goodrich, Ben – Grantee Submission, 2021
Structural equation models comprise a large class of popular statistical models, including factor analysis models, certain mixed models, and extensions thereof. Model estimation is complicated by the fact that we typically have multiple interdependent response variables and multiple latent variables (which may also be called random effects or…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Structural Equation Models, Psychometrics, Factor Analysis
T. S. Kutaka; P. Chernyavskiy; J. Sarama; D. H. Clements – Grantee Submission, 2023
Investigators often rely on the proportion of correct responses in an assessment when describing the impact of early mathematics interventions on child outcomes. Here, we propose a shift in focus to the relative sophistication of problem-solving strategies and offer methodological guidance to researchers interested in working with strategies. We…
Descriptors: Learning Trajectories, Problem Solving, Mathematics Instruction, Early Intervention
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Sainan Xu; Jing Lu; Jiwei Zhang; Chun Wang; Gongjun Xu – Grantee Submission, 2024
With the growing attention on large-scale educational testing and assessment, the ability to process substantial volumes of response data becomes crucial. Current estimation methods within item response theory (IRT), despite their high precision, often pose considerable computational burdens with large-scale data, leading to reduced computational…
Descriptors: Educational Assessment, Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference, Item Response Theory
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Carly Oddleifson; Stephen Kilgus; David A. Klingbeil; Alexander D. Latham; Jessica S. Kim; Ishan N. Vengurlekar – Grantee Submission, 2025
The purpose of this study was to conduct a conceptual replication of Pendergast et al.'s (2018) study that examined the diagnostic accuracy of a nomogram procedure, also known as a naive Bayesian approach. The specific naive Bayesian approach combined academic and social-emotional and behavioral (SEB) screening data to predict student performance…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Accuracy, Social Emotional Learning, Diagnostic Tests
Jing Lu; Chun Wang; Jiwei Zhang; Xue Wang – Grantee Submission, 2023
Changepoints are abrupt variations in a sequence of data in statistical inference. In educational and psychological assessments, it is pivotal to properly differentiate examinees' aberrant behaviors from solution behavior to ensure test reliability and validity. In this paper, we propose a sequential Bayesian changepoint detection algorithm to…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Behavior Patterns, Computer Assisted Testing, Accuracy
Doroudi, Shayan; Holstein, Kenneth; Aleven, Vincent; Brunskill, Emma – Grantee Submission, 2016
How should a wide variety of educational activities be sequenced to maximize student learning? Although some experimental studies have addressed this question, educational data mining methods may be able to evaluate a wider range of possibilities and better handle many simultaneous sequencing constraints. We introduce Sequencing Constraint…
Descriptors: Sequential Learning, Data Collection, Information Retrieval, Evaluation Methods