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Peng Ding; Luke W. Miratrix – Grantee Submission, 2019
For binary experimental data, we discuss randomization-based inferential procedures that do not need to invoke any modeling assumptions. We also introduce methods for likelihood and Bayesian inference based solely on the physical randomization without any hypothetical super population assumptions about the potential outcomes. These estimators have…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Randomized Controlled Trials, Bayesian Statistics
Gagnon-Bartsch, J. A.; Sales, A. C.; Wu, E.; Botelho, A. F.; Erickson, J. A.; Miratrix, L. W.; Heffernan, N. T. – Grantee Submission, 2019
Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) admit unconfounded design-based inference--randomization largely justifies the assumptions underlying statistical effect estimates--but often have limited sample sizes. However, researchers may have access to big observational data on covariates and outcomes from RCT non-participants. For example, data from A/B…
Descriptors: Randomized Controlled Trials, Educational Research, Prediction, Algorithms
Peng Ding; Fan Li – Grantee Submission, 2018
Inferring causal effects of treatments is a central goal in many disciplines. The potential outcomes framework is a main statistical approach to causal inference, in which a causal effect is defined as a comparison of the potential outcomes of the same units under different treatment conditions. Because for each unit at most one of the potential…
Descriptors: Attribution Theory, Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Research Problems