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Ashley L. Watts; Ashley L. Greene; Wes Bonifay; Eiko L. Fried – Grantee Submission, 2023
The p-factor is a construct that is thought to explain and maybe even cause variation in all forms of psychopathology. Since its 'discovery' in 2012, hundreds of studies have been dedicated to the extraction and validation of statistical instantiations of the p-factor, called general factors of psychopathology. In this Perspective, we outline five…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Psychopathology, Goodness of Fit, Validity
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Oscar Clivio; Avi Feller; Chris Holmes – Grantee Submission, 2024
Reweighting a distribution to minimize a distance to a target distribution is a powerful and flexible strategy for estimating a wide range of causal effects, but can be challenging in practice because optimal weights typically depend on knowledge of the underlying data generating process. In this paper, we focus on design-based weights, which do…
Descriptors: Evaluation Methods, Causal Models, Error of Measurement, Guidelines
Qinyun Lin; Amy K. Nuttall; Qian Zhang; Kenneth A. Frank – Grantee Submission, 2023
Empirical studies often demonstrate multiple causal mechanisms potentially involving simultaneous or causally related mediators. However, researchers often use simple mediation models to understand the processes because they do not or cannot measure other theoretically relevant mediators. In such cases, another potentially relevant but unobserved…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Mediation Theory, Error of Measurement, Statistical Inference
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Yanping Pei; Adam Sales; Johann Gagnon-Bartsch – Grantee Submission, 2024
Randomized A/B tests within online learning platforms enable us to draw unbiased causal estimators. However, precise estimates of treatment effects can be challenging due to minimal participation, resulting in underpowered A/B tests. Recent advancements indicate that leveraging auxiliary information from detailed logs and employing design-based…
Descriptors: Randomized Controlled Trials, Learning Management Systems, Causal Models, Learning Analytics
Ben-Michael, Eli; Feller, Avi; Rothstein, Jesse – Grantee Submission, 2022
Staggered adoption of policies by different units at different times creates promising opportunities for observational causal inference. Estimation remains challenging, however, and common regression methods can give misleading results. A promising alternative is the synthetic control method (SCM), which finds a weighted average of control units…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Computation, Evaluation Methods
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Ke-Hai Yuan; Zhiyong Zhang; Lijuan Wang – Grantee Submission, 2024
Mediation analysis plays an important role in understanding causal processes in social and behavioral sciences. While path analysis with composite scores was criticized to yield biased parameter estimates when variables contain measurement errors, recent literature has pointed out that the population values of parameters of latent-variable models…
Descriptors: Structural Equation Models, Path Analysis, Weighted Scores, Comparative Testing
Pashley, Nicole E.; Miratrix, Luke W. – Grantee Submission, 2019
In the causal inference literature, evaluating blocking from a potential outcomes perspective has two main branches of work. The first focuses on larger blocks, with multiple treatment and control units in each block. The second focuses on matched pairs, with a single treatment and control unit in each block. These literatures not only provide…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Research Methodology, Computation
Gagnon-Bartsch, J. A.; Sales, A. C.; Wu, E.; Botelho, A. F.; Erickson, J. A.; Miratrix, L. W.; Heffernan, N. T. – Grantee Submission, 2019
Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) admit unconfounded design-based inference--randomization largely justifies the assumptions underlying statistical effect estimates--but often have limited sample sizes. However, researchers may have access to big observational data on covariates and outcomes from RCT non-participants. For example, data from A/B…
Descriptors: Randomized Controlled Trials, Educational Research, Prediction, Algorithms
Dorie, Vincent; Harada, Masataka; Carnegie, Nicole Bohme; Hill, Jennifer – Grantee Submission, 2016
When estimating causal effects, unmeasured confounding and model misspecification are both potential sources of bias. We propose a method to simultaneously address both issues in the form of a semi-parametric sensitivity analysis. In particular, our approach incorporates Bayesian Additive Regression Trees into a two-parameter sensitivity analysis…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Mathematical Models, Causal Models, Statistical Bias