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Batley, Prathiba Natesan; Minka, Tom; Hedges, Larry Vernon – Grantee Submission, 2020
Immediacy is one of the necessary criteria to show strong evidence of treatment effect in single case experimental designs (SCEDs). With the exception of Natesan and Hedges (2017) no inferential statistical tool has been used to demonstrate or quantify it until now. We investigate and quantify immediacy by treating the change-points between the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Monte Carlo Methods, Statistical Inference, Markov Processes
Doroudi, Shayan; Brunskill, Emma – Grantee Submission, 2017
In this paper, we investigate two purported problems with Bayesian Knowledge Tracing (BKT), a popular statistical model of student learning: "identifiability" and "semantic model degeneracy." In 2007, Beck and Chang stated that BKT is susceptible to an "identifiability problem"--various models with different…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Research Problems, Statistical Analysis, Models