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Charlotte Z. Mann; Adam C. Sales; Johann A. Gagnon-Bartsch – Grantee Submission, 2025
Combining observational and experimental data for causal inference can improve treatment effect estimation. However, many observational data sets cannot be released due to data privacy considerations, so one researcher may not have access to both experimental and observational data. Nonetheless, a small amount of risk of disclosing sensitive…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Analysis, Privacy, Risk
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Xinxin Sun – Grantee Submission, 2023
Noncompliance to treatment assignment is widespread in randomized trials and presents challenges in causal inference. In the presence of noncompliance, the most commonly estimated effect of treatment assignment, also known as the intent-to-treat (ITT) effect, is biased. Of interest in this setting is the complier average causal effect (CACE), the…
Descriptors: Compliance (Psychology), Randomized Controlled Trials, Maximum Likelihood Statistics, Computation
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Avery H. Closser; Adam Sales; Anthony F. Botelho – Grantee Submission, 2024
Emergent technologies present platforms for educational researchers to conduct randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and collect rich data on study students' performance, behavior, learning processes, and outcomes in authentic learning environments. As educational research increasingly uses methods and data collection from such platforms, it is…
Descriptors: Data Analysis, Educational Research, Randomized Controlled Trials, Sampling
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Kenneth A. Frank; Qinyun Lin; Spiro J. Maroulis – Grantee Submission, 2024
In the complex world of educational policy, causal inferences will be debated. As we review non-experimental designs in educational policy, we focus on how to clarify and focus the terms of debate. We begin by presenting the potential outcomes/counterfactual framework and then describe approximations to the counterfactual generated from the…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Observation, Educational Policy
Wilhelmina van Dijk; Cynthia U. Norris; Sara A. Hart – Grantee Submission, 2022
Randomized control trials are considered the pinnacle for causal inference. In many cases, however, randomization of participants in social work research studies is not feasible or ethical. This paper introduces the co-twin control design study as an alternative quasi-experimental design to provide evidence of causal mechanisms when randomization…
Descriptors: Twins, Research Design, Randomized Controlled Trials, Quasiexperimental Design
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Yanping Pei; Adam Sales; Johann Gagnon-Bartsch – Grantee Submission, 2024
Randomized A/B tests within online learning platforms enable us to draw unbiased causal estimators. However, precise estimates of treatment effects can be challenging due to minimal participation, resulting in underpowered A/B tests. Recent advancements indicate that leveraging auxiliary information from detailed logs and employing design-based…
Descriptors: Randomized Controlled Trials, Learning Management Systems, Causal Models, Learning Analytics
Kaplan, Avi; Cromley, Jennifer; Perez, Tony; Dai, Ting; Mara, Kyle; Balsai, Michael – Grantee Submission, 2020
In this commentary, we complement other constructive critiques of educational randomized control trials (RCTs) by calling attention to the commonly ignored role of context in causal mechanisms undergirding educational phenomena. We argue that evidence for the central role of context in causal mechanisms challenges the assumption that RCT findings…
Descriptors: Context Effect, Educational Research, Randomized Controlled Trials, Causal Models
K. L. Anglin; A. Krishnamachari; V. Wong – Grantee Submission, 2020
This article reviews important statistical methods for estimating the impact of interventions on outcomes in education settings, particularly programs that are implemented in field, rather than laboratory, settings. We begin by describing the causal inference challenge for evaluating program effects. Then four research designs are discussed that…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Intervention, Program Evaluation
Peng Ding; Luke W. Miratrix – Grantee Submission, 2019
For binary experimental data, we discuss randomization-based inferential procedures that do not need to invoke any modeling assumptions. We also introduce methods for likelihood and Bayesian inference based solely on the physical randomization without any hypothetical super population assumptions about the potential outcomes. These estimators have…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Randomized Controlled Trials, Bayesian Statistics
Petscher, Yaacov; Schatschneider, Christopher – Grantee Submission, 2019
Complex data structures are ubiquitous in psychological research, especially in educational settings. In the context of randomized controlled trials, students are nested in classrooms but may be cross-classified by other units, such as small groups. Further, in many cases only some students may be nested within a unit while other students may not.…
Descriptors: Structural Equation Models, Causal Models, Randomized Controlled Trials, Hierarchical Linear Modeling
Xinran Li; Peng Ding – Grantee Submission, 2018
Frequentists' inference often delivers point estimators associated with confidence intervals or sets for parameters of interest. Constructing the confidence intervals or sets requires understanding the sampling distributions of the point estimators, which, in many but not all cases, are related to asymptotic Normal distributions ensured by central…
Descriptors: Correlation, Intervals, Sampling, Evaluation Methods
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Jaylin Lowe; Charlotte Z. Mann; Jiaying Wang; Adam Sales; Johann A. Gagnon-Bartsch – Grantee Submission, 2024
Recent methods have sought to improve precision in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) by utilizing data from large observational datasets for covariate adjustment. For example, consider an RCT aimed at evaluating a new algebra curriculum, in which a few dozen schools are randomly assigned to treatment (new curriculum) or control (standard…
Descriptors: Randomized Controlled Trials, Middle School Mathematics, Middle School Students, Middle Schools
Pashley, Nicole E.; Miratrix, Luke W. – Grantee Submission, 2019
In the causal inference literature, evaluating blocking from a potential outcomes perspective has two main branches of work. The first focuses on larger blocks, with multiple treatment and control units in each block. The second focuses on matched pairs, with a single treatment and control unit in each block. These literatures not only provide…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Research Methodology, Computation
Gagnon-Bartsch, J. A.; Sales, A. C.; Wu, E.; Botelho, A. F.; Erickson, J. A.; Miratrix, L. W.; Heffernan, N. T. – Grantee Submission, 2019
Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) admit unconfounded design-based inference--randomization largely justifies the assumptions underlying statistical effect estimates--but often have limited sample sizes. However, researchers may have access to big observational data on covariates and outcomes from RCT non-participants. For example, data from A/B…
Descriptors: Randomized Controlled Trials, Educational Research, Prediction, Algorithms
Lo-Hua Yuan; Avi Feller; Luke W. Miratrix – Grantee Submission, 2019
Randomized trials are often conducted with separate randomizations across multiple sites such as schools, voting districts, or hospitals. These sites can differ in important ways, including the site's implementation, local conditions, and the composition of individuals. An important question in practice is whether--and under what…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Intervention, High School Students, College Attendance
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