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Avery H. Closser; Adam Sales; Anthony F. Botelho – Grantee Submission, 2024
Emergent technologies present platforms for educational researchers to conduct randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and collect rich data on study students' performance, behavior, learning processes, and outcomes in authentic learning environments. As educational research increasingly uses methods and data collection from such platforms, it is…
Descriptors: Data Analysis, Educational Research, Randomized Controlled Trials, Sampling
Anqi Zhao; Peng Ding; Tirthankar Dasgupta – Grantee Submission, 2018
Given two 2-level factors of interest, a 2[superscript 2] split-plot design (a) takes each of the 2 [superscript 2] = 4 possible factorial combinations as a treatment, (b) identifies one factor as `whole-plot,' (c) divides the experimental units into blocks, and (d) assigns the treatments in such away that all units within the same block receive…
Descriptors: Statistical Inference, Computation, Statistical Analysis, Sampling
Xinran Li; Peng Ding – Grantee Submission, 2018
Frequentists' inference often delivers point estimators associated with confidence intervals or sets for parameters of interest. Constructing the confidence intervals or sets requires understanding the sampling distributions of the point estimators, which, in many but not all cases, are related to asymptotic Normal distributions ensured by central…
Descriptors: Correlation, Intervals, Sampling, Evaluation Methods
Makela, Susanna; Si, Yajuan; Gelman, Andrew – Grantee Submission, 2018
Cluster sampling is common in survey practice, and the corresponding inference has been predominantly design-based. We develop a Bayesian framework for cluster sampling and account for the design effect in the outcome modeling. We consider a two-stage cluster sampling design where the clusters are first selected with probability proportional to…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference, Sampling, Probability
Gagnon-Bartsch, J. A.; Sales, A. C.; Wu, E.; Botelho, A. F.; Erickson, J. A.; Miratrix, L. W.; Heffernan, N. T. – Grantee Submission, 2019
Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) admit unconfounded design-based inference--randomization largely justifies the assumptions underlying statistical effect estimates--but often have limited sample sizes. However, researchers may have access to big observational data on covariates and outcomes from RCT non-participants. For example, data from A/B…
Descriptors: Randomized Controlled Trials, Educational Research, Prediction, Algorithms
Natesan, Prathiba; Hedges, Larry V. – Grantee Submission, 2016
Although immediacy is one of the necessary criteria to show strong evidence of a causal relation in SCDs, no inferential statistical tool is currently used to demonstrate it. We propose a Bayesian unknown change-point model to investigate and quantify immediacy in SCD analysis. Unlike visual analysis that considers only 3-5 observations in…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference, Research Design, Models
Ding Peng; Avi Feller; Luke Miratrix – Grantee Submission, 2016
Applied researchers are increasingly interested in whether and how treatment effects vary in randomized evaluations, especially variation not explained by observed covariates. We propose a model-free approach for testing for the presence of such unexplained variation. To use this randomization-based approach, we must address the fact that the…
Descriptors: Randomized Controlled Trials, Statistical Inference, Evaluation Methods, Testing
Gongjun Xu; Tony Sit; Lan Wang; Chiung-Yu Huang – Grantee Submission, 2017
Biased sampling occurs frequently in economics, epidemiology, and medical studies either by design or due to data collecting mechanism. Failing to take into account the sampling bias usually leads to incorrect inference. We propose a unified estimation procedure and a computationally fast resampling method to make statistical inference for…
Descriptors: Sampling, Statistical Inference, Computation, Generalization