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Sarah Narvaiz; Qinyun Lin; Joshua M. Rosenberg; Kenneth A. Frank; Spiro J. Maroulis; Wei Wang; Ran Xu – Grantee Submission, 2024
Sensitivity analysis, a statistical method crucial for validating inferences across disciplines, quantifies the conditions that could alter conclusions (Razavi et al., 2021). One line of work is rooted in linear models and foregrounds the sensitivity of inferences to the strength of omitted variables (Cinelli & Hazlett, 2019; Frank, 2000). A…
Descriptors: Statistical Analysis, Computer Software, Robustness (Statistics), Statistical Inference
Guanglei Hong; Fan Yang; Xu Qin – Grantee Submission, 2023
In causal mediation studies that decompose an average treatment effect into indirect and direct effects, examples of post-treatment confounding are abundant. In the presence of treatment-by-mediator interactions, past research has generally considered it infeasible to adjust for a post-treatment confounder of the mediator-outcome relationship due…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Mediation Theory, Research Problems, Statistical Inference
Charlotte Z. Mann; Adam C. Sales; Johann A. Gagnon-Bartsch – Grantee Submission, 2025
Combining observational and experimental data for causal inference can improve treatment effect estimation. However, many observational data sets cannot be released due to data privacy considerations, so one researcher may not have access to both experimental and observational data. Nonetheless, a small amount of risk of disclosing sensitive…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Analysis, Privacy, Risk
Nianbo Dong; Keith Herman; Benjamin Kelcey; Sirui Ren; Wendy Reinke; Jessaca Spybrook – Grantee Submission, 2025
Contextual, identity, and cultural factors are not only associated with student outcomes but can also serve to moderate the effects of interventions. However, the conventional analysis of moderation commonly used in school psychology is subject to the selection bias potentially introducing bias into estimated moderator effects. This article…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Analysis, Context Effect, Intervention
Qinyun Lin; Amy K. Nuttall; Qian Zhang; Kenneth A. Frank – Grantee Submission, 2023
Empirical studies often demonstrate multiple causal mechanisms potentially involving simultaneous or causally related mediators. However, researchers often use simple mediation models to understand the processes because they do not or cannot measure other theoretically relevant mediators. In such cases, another potentially relevant but unobserved…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Mediation Theory, Error of Measurement, Statistical Inference
Xu Qin – Grantee Submission, 2023
When designing a study for causal mediation analysis, it is crucial to conduct a power analysis to determine the sample size required to detect the causal mediation effects with sufficient power. However, the development of power analysis methods for causal mediation analysis has lagged far behind. To fill the knowledge gap, I proposed a…
Descriptors: Sample Size, Statistical Analysis, Causal Models, Mediation Theory
Xu Qin; Lijuan Wang – Grantee Submission, 2023
Research questions regarding how, for whom, and where a treatment achieves its effect on an outcome have become increasingly valued in substantive research. Such questions can be answered by causal moderated mediation analysis, which assesses the heterogeneity of the mediation mechanism underlying the treatment effect across individual and…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Mediation Theory, Computer Software, Statistical Analysis
Peng Ding; Luke W. Miratrix – Grantee Submission, 2019
For binary experimental data, we discuss randomization-based inferential procedures that do not need to invoke any modeling assumptions. We also introduce methods for likelihood and Bayesian inference based solely on the physical randomization without any hypothetical super population assumptions about the potential outcomes. These estimators have…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Randomized Controlled Trials, Bayesian Statistics
Peng Ding; Jiannan Lu – Grantee Submission, 2017
Practitioners are interested in not only the average causal effect of a treatment on the outcome but also the underlying causal mechanism in the presence of an intermediate variable between the treatment and outcome. However, in many cases we cannot randomize the intermediate variable, resulting in sample selection problems even in randomized…
Descriptors: Principals, Social Stratification, Scores, Causal Models
Jaylin Lowe; Charlotte Z. Mann; Jiaying Wang; Adam Sales; Johann A. Gagnon-Bartsch – Grantee Submission, 2024
Recent methods have sought to improve precision in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) by utilizing data from large observational datasets for covariate adjustment. For example, consider an RCT aimed at evaluating a new algebra curriculum, in which a few dozen schools are randomly assigned to treatment (new curriculum) or control (standard…
Descriptors: Randomized Controlled Trials, Middle School Mathematics, Middle School Students, Middle Schools
Ding, Peng; Van der Weele, Tyler; Robins, James M. – Grantee Submission, 2017
Drawing causal inference with observational studies is the central pillar of many disciplines. One sufficient condition for identifying the causal effect is that the treatment-outcome relationship is unconfounded conditional on the observed covariates. It is often believed that the more covariates we condition on, the more plausible this…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Inferences, Outcomes of Treatment, Interaction
Vuorre, Matti; Bolger, Niall – Grantee Submission, 2018
Statistical mediation allows researchers to investigate potential causal effects of experimental manipulations through intervening variables. It is a powerful tool for assessing the presence and strength of postulated causal mechanisms. Although mediation is used in certain areas of psychology, it is rarely applied in cognitive psychology and…
Descriptors: Statistical Analysis, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Cognitive Psychology, Neurosciences
Ding, Peng; Dasgupta, Tirthankar – Grantee Submission, 2017
Fisher randomization tests for Neyman's null hypothesis of no average treatment effects are considered in a finite population setting associated with completely randomized experiments with more than two treatments. The consequences of using the F statistic to conduct such a test are examined both theoretically and computationally, and it is argued…
Descriptors: Statistical Analysis, Statistical Inference, Causal Models, Error Patterns
Peng Ding; Fan Li – Grantee Submission, 2018
Inferring causal effects of treatments is a central goal in many disciplines. The potential outcomes framework is a main statistical approach to causal inference, in which a causal effect is defined as a comparison of the potential outcomes of the same units under different treatment conditions. Because for each unit at most one of the potential…
Descriptors: Attribution Theory, Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Research Problems