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Haiyan Liu; Wen Qu; Zhiyong Zhang; Hao Wu – Grantee Submission, 2022
Bayesian inference for structural equation models (SEMs) is increasingly popular in social and psychological sciences owing to its flexibility to adapt to more complex models and the ability to include prior information if available. However, there are two major hurdles in using the traditional Bayesian SEM in practice: (1) the information nested…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Structural Equation Models, Statistical Inference, Statistical Distributions
Yao, Yuling; Vehtari, Aki; Gelman, Andrew – Grantee Submission, 2022
When working with multimodal Bayesian posterior distributions, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have difficulty moving between modes, and default variational or mode-based approximate inferences will understate posterior uncertainty. And, even if the most important modes can be found, it is difficult to evaluate their relative weights in…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Computation, Markov Processes, Monte Carlo Methods
Dorie, Vincent; Hill, Jennifer; Shalit, Uri; Scott, Marc; Cervone, Daniel – Grantee Submission, 2018
Statisticians have made great progress in creating methods that reduce our reliance on parametric assumptions. However this explosion in research has resulted in a breadth of inferential strategies that both create opportunities for more reliable inference as well as complicate the choices that an applied researcher has to make and defend.…
Descriptors: Statistical Inference, Simulation, Causal Models, Research Methodology
Ding, Peng; Dasgupta, Tirthankar – Grantee Submission, 2017
Fisher randomization tests for Neyman's null hypothesis of no average treatment effects are considered in a finite population setting associated with completely randomized experiments with more than two treatments. The consequences of using the F statistic to conduct such a test are examined both theoretically and computationally, and it is argued…
Descriptors: Statistical Analysis, Statistical Inference, Causal Models, Error Patterns
Carpenter, Bob; Gelman, Andrew; Hoffman, Matthew D.; Lee, Daniel; Goodrich, Ben; Betancourt, Michael; Brubaker, Marcus A.; Guo, Jiqiang; Li, Peter; Riddell, Allen – Grantee Submission, 2017
Stan is a probabilistic programming language for specifying statistical models. A Stan program imperatively defines a log probability function over parameters conditioned on specified data and constants. As of version 2.14.0, Stan provides full Bayesian inference for continuous-variable models through Markov chain Monte Carlo methods such as the…
Descriptors: Programming Languages, Probability, Bayesian Statistics, Monte Carlo Methods
Natesan, Prathiba; Hedges, Larry V. – Grantee Submission, 2016
Although immediacy is one of the necessary criteria to show strong evidence of a causal relation in SCDs, no inferential statistical tool is currently used to demonstrate it. We propose a Bayesian unknown change-point model to investigate and quantify immediacy in SCD analysis. Unlike visual analysis that considers only 3-5 observations in…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference, Research Design, Models
Cain, Meghan K.; Zhang, Zhiyong; Yuan, Ke-Hai – Grantee Submission, 2017
Nonnormality of univariate data has been extensively examined previously (Blanca et al., 2013; Micceri, 1989). However, less is known of the potential nonnormality of multivariate data although multivariate analysis is commonly used in psychological and educational research. Using univariate and multivariate skewness and kurtosis as measures of…
Descriptors: Multivariate Analysis, Probability, Statistical Distributions, Psychological Studies