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Andrew Gelman; Matthijs Vákár – Grantee Submission, 2021
It is not always clear how to adjust for control data in causal inference, balancing the goals of reducing bias and variance. We show how, in a setting with repeated experiments, Bayesian hierarchical modeling yields an adaptive procedure that uses the data to determine how much adjustment to perform. The result is a novel analysis with increased…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Analysis, Efficiency, Statistical Inference
Avery H. Closser; Adam Sales; Anthony F. Botelho – Grantee Submission, 2024
Emergent technologies present platforms for educational researchers to conduct randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and collect rich data on study students' performance, behavior, learning processes, and outcomes in authentic learning environments. As educational research increasingly uses methods and data collection from such platforms, it is…
Descriptors: Data Analysis, Educational Research, Randomized Controlled Trials, Sampling
Craig K. Enders – Grantee Submission, 2023
The year 2022 is the 20th anniversary of Joseph Schafer and John Graham's paper titled "Missing data: Our view of the state of the art," currently the most highly cited paper in the history of "Psychological Methods." Much has changed since 2002, as missing data methodologies have continually evolved and improved; the range of…
Descriptors: Data, Research, Theories, Regression (Statistics)
Xue Zhang; Chun Wang – Grantee Submission, 2021
Among current state-of-art estimation methods for multilevel IRT models, the two-stage divide-and-conquer strategy has practical advantages, such as clearer definition of factors, convenience for secondary data analysis, convenience for model calibration and fit evaluation, and avoidance of improper solutions. However, various studies have shown…
Descriptors: Error of Measurement, Error Correction, Item Response Theory, Comparative Analysis
Chung, Yeojin; Gelman, Andrew; Rabe-Hesketh, Sophia; Liu, Jingchen; Dorie, Vincent – Grantee Submission, 2015
When fitting hierarchical regression models, maximum likelihood (ML) estimation has computational (and, for some users, philosophical) advantages compared to full Bayesian inference, but when the number of groups is small, estimates of the covariance matrix [sigma] of group-level varying coefficients are often degenerate. One can do better, even…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference