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Journal of Experimental…2
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Fischhoff, Baruch2
Slovic, Paul1
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Slovic, Paul; Fischhoff, Baruch – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 1977
Studies of the psychology of hindsight have shown that reporting the outcome of a historical event increases the perceived likelihood of that outcome. Three experiments show that similar hindsight effects occur when people evaluate the predictability of scientific results. Implications for the evaluation of scientific research by lay observers are…
Descriptors: Bias, Experimental Psychology, Experiments, Perception
Peer reviewed Peer reviewed
Fischhoff, Baruch – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 1977
There are many tasks in which people are called on to disregard information that they have already processed. Dealing with inadmissible evidence in a courtroom setting, second-guessing the past, etc. This research investigates such difficulties in a general form, using almanac-type questions. (Editor/RK)
Descriptors: Experimental Psychology, Experiments, Flow Charts, Information Processing