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Michael Nagel; Lukas Fischer; Tim Pawlowski; Augustin Kelava – Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 2024
Bayesian estimations of complex regression models with high-dimensional parameter spaces require advanced priors, capable of addressing both sparsity and multicollinearity in the data. The Dirichlet-horseshoe, a new prior distribution that combines and expands on the concepts of the regularized horseshoe and the Dirichlet-Laplace priors, is a…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Regression (Statistics), Computation, Statistical Distributions
Batley, Prathiba Natesan; Hedges, Larry V. – Grantee Submission, 2021
Although statistical practices to evaluate intervention effects in SCEDs have gained prominence in the recent times, models are yet to incorporate and investigate all their analytic complexities. Most of these statistical models incorporate slopes and autocorrelations both of which contribute to trend in the data. The question that arises is…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Accuracy, Computation
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Cornelis Potgieter; Xin Qiao; Akihito Kamata; Yusuf Kara – Grantee Submission, 2024
As part of the effort to develop an improved oral reading fluency (ORF) assessment system, Kara et al. (2020) estimated the ORF scores based on a latent variable psychometric model of accuracy and speed for ORF data via a fully Bayesian approach. This study further investigates likelihood-based estimators for the model-derived ORF scores,…
Descriptors: Oral Reading, Reading Fluency, Scores, Psychometrics
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Cornelis Potgieter; Xin Qiao; Akihito Kamata; Yusuf Kara – Journal of Educational Measurement, 2024
As part of the effort to develop an improved oral reading fluency (ORF) assessment system, Kara et al. estimated the ORF scores based on a latent variable psychometric model of accuracy and speed for ORF data via a fully Bayesian approach. This study further investigates likelihood-based estimators for the model-derived ORF scores, including…
Descriptors: Oral Reading, Reading Fluency, Scores, Psychometrics
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Haiyan Liu; Sarah Depaoli; Lydia Marvin – Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 2022
The deviance information criterion (DIC) is widely used to select the parsimonious, well-fitting model. We examined how priors impact model complexity (pD) and the DIC for Bayesian CFA. Study 1 compared the empirical distributions of pD and DIC under multivariate (i.e., inverse Wishart) and separation strategy (SS) priors. The former treats the…
Descriptors: Structural Equation Models, Bayesian Statistics, Goodness of Fit, Factor Analysis
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Dongho Shin – Grantee Submission, 2024
We consider Bayesian estimation of a hierarchical linear model (HLM) from small sample sizes. The continuous response Y and covariates C are partially observed and assumed missing at random. With C having linear effects, the HLM may be efficiently estimated by available methods. When C includes cluster-level covariates having interactive or other…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Computation, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Data Analysis
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Sainan Xu; Jing Lu; Jiwei Zhang; Chun Wang; Gongjun Xu – Grantee Submission, 2024
With the growing attention on large-scale educational testing and assessment, the ability to process substantial volumes of response data becomes crucial. Current estimation methods within item response theory (IRT), despite their high precision, often pose considerable computational burdens with large-scale data, leading to reduced computational…
Descriptors: Educational Assessment, Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference, Item Response Theory
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Slater, Stefan; Baker, Ryan – Distance Education, 2019
Considerable attention has been given to methods for knowledge estimation, a category of methods for automatic assessment of a student's degree of skill mastery or knowledge at a specific time. Knowledge estimation is frequently used to make decisions about when a student has reached mastery and is ready to advance to new material, but there has…
Descriptors: Prediction, Mastery Learning, Academic Achievement, Bayesian Statistics
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Kohli, Nidhi; Peralta, Yadira; Zopluoglu, Cengiz; Davison, Mark L. – International Journal of Behavioral Development, 2018
Piecewise mixed-effects models are useful for analyzing longitudinal educational and psychological data sets to model segmented change over time. These models offer an attractive alternative to commonly used quadratic and higher-order polynomial models because the coefficients obtained from fitting the model have meaningful substantive…
Descriptors: Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Longitudinal Studies, Maximum Likelihood Statistics, Bayesian Statistics
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Kilic, Abdullah Faruk; Dogan, Nuri – International Journal of Assessment Tools in Education, 2021
Weighted least squares (WLS), weighted least squares mean-and-variance-adjusted (WLSMV), unweighted least squares mean-and-variance-adjusted (ULSMV), maximum likelihood (ML), robust maximum likelihood (MLR) and Bayesian estimation methods were compared in mixed item response type data via Monte Carlo simulation. The percentage of polytomous items,…
Descriptors: Factor Analysis, Computation, Least Squares Statistics, Maximum Likelihood Statistics
Yildiz, Mustafa – ProQuest LLC, 2017
Student misconceptions have been studied for decades from a curricular/instructional perspective and from the assessment/test level perspective. Numerous misconception assessment tools have been developed in order to measure students' misconceptions relative to the correct content. Often, these tools are used to make a variety of educational…
Descriptors: Misconceptions, Students, Item Response Theory, Models
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Wilson, Kevin H.; Karklin, Yan; Han, Bojian; Ekanadham, Chaitanya – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2016
Estimating student proficiency is an important task for computer based learning systems. We compare a family of IRT-based proficiency estimation methods to Deep Knowledge Tracing (DKT), a recently proposed recurrent neural network model with promising initial results. We evaluate how well each model predicts a student's future response given…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Bayesian Statistics, Computation, Artificial Intelligence
Nižnan, Juraj; Pelánek, Radek; Rihák, Jirí – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2015
Intelligent behavior of adaptive educational systems is based on student models. Most research in student modeling focuses on student learning (acquisition of skills). We focus on prior knowledge, which gets much less attention in modeling and yet can be highly varied and have important consequences for the use of educational systems. We describe…
Descriptors: Prior Learning, Models, Intelligent Tutoring Systems, Bayesian Statistics
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Martin-Fernandez, Manuel; Revuelta, Javier – Psicologica: International Journal of Methodology and Experimental Psychology, 2017
This study compares the performance of two estimation algorithms of new usage, the Metropolis-Hastings Robins-Monro (MHRM) and the Hamiltonian MCMC (HMC), with two consolidated algorithms in the psychometric literature, the marginal likelihood via EM algorithm (MML-EM) and the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), in the estimation of multidimensional…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Item Response Theory, Models, Comparative Analysis
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Kim, Sooyeon; Moses, Tim; Yoo, Hanwook – Journal of Educational Measurement, 2015
This inquiry is an investigation of item response theory (IRT) proficiency estimators' accuracy under multistage testing (MST). We chose a two-stage MST design that includes four modules (one at Stage 1, three at Stage 2) and three difficulty paths (low, middle, high). We assembled various two-stage MST panels (i.e., forms) by manipulating two…
Descriptors: Comparative Analysis, Item Response Theory, Computation, Accuracy
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