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Williams, Joseph J.; Griffiths, Thomas L. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2013
Errors in detecting randomness are often explained in terms of biases and misconceptions. We propose and provide evidence for an account that characterizes the contribution of the inherent statistical difficulty of the task. Our account is based on a Bayesian statistical analysis, focusing on the fact that a random process is a special case of…
Descriptors: Experimental Psychology, Bias, Misconceptions, Statistical Analysis
Zhu, Shizhuo – ProQuest LLC, 2010
Clinical decision-making is challenging mainly because of two factors: (1) patient conditions are often complicated with partial and changing information; (2) people have cognitive biases in their decision-making and information-seeking. Consequentially, misdiagnoses and ineffective use of resources may happen. To better support clinical…
Descriptors: Medical Evaluation, Clinical Diagnosis, Decision Making, Bayesian Statistics