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Robert B. Olsen; Larry L. Orr; Stephen H. Bell; Elizabeth Petraglia; Elena Badillo-Goicoechea; Atsushi Miyaoka; Elizabeth A. Stuart – Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2024
Multi-site randomized controlled trials (RCTs) provide unbiased estimates of the average impact in the study sample. However, their ability to accurately predict the impact for individual sites outside the study sample, to inform local policy decisions, is largely unknown. To extend prior research on this question, we analyzed six multi-site RCTs…
Descriptors: Accuracy, Predictor Variables, Randomized Controlled Trials, Regression (Statistics)
MOOC Performance Prediction and Analysis via Bayesian Network and Maslow's Hierarchical Needs Theory
Luyu Zhu; Jia Hao; Jianhou Gan – Interactive Learning Environments, 2024
Nowadays, Massive Open Online Courses (MOOC) has been gradually accepted by the public as a new type of education and teaching method. However, due to the lack of timely intervention and guidance from educators, learners' performance is not as effective as it could be. To address this problem, predicting MOOC learners' performance and providing…
Descriptors: MOOCs, Academic Achievement, Prediction, Bayesian Statistics
Mao, Ye; Lin, Chen; Chi, Min – Journal of Educational Data Mining, 2018
Bayesian Knowledge Tracing (BKT) is a commonly used approach for student modeling, and Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) is a versatile model that can be applied to a wide range of tasks, such as language translation. In this work, we directly compared three models: BKT, its variant Intervention-BKT (IBKT), and LSTM, on two types of student modeling…
Descriptors: Prediction, Pretests Posttests, Bayesian Statistics, Short Term Memory
Bramley, Neil R.; Lagnado, David A.; Speekenbrink, Maarten – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2015
Interacting with a system is key to uncovering its causal structure. A computational framework for interventional causal learning has been developed over the last decade, but how real causal learners might achieve or approximate the computations entailed by this framework is still poorly understood. Here we describe an interactive computer task in…
Descriptors: Intervention, Memory, Cognitive Processes, Models
Solomon, Benjamin G.; Forsberg, Ole J. – School Psychology Quarterly, 2017
Bayesian techniques have become increasingly present in the social sciences, fueled by advances in computer speed and the development of user-friendly software. In this paper, we forward the use of Bayesian Asymmetric Regression (BAR) to monitor intervention responsiveness when using Curriculum-Based Measurement (CBM) to assess oral reading…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Regression (Statistics), Least Squares Statistics, Evaluation Methods
Zhang, Dake; Stecker, Pamela; Huckabee, Sloan; Miller, Rhonda – Journal of Learning Disabilities, 2016
Research has suggested that different strategies used when solving fraction problems are highly correlated with students' problem-solving accuracy. This study (a) utilized latent profile modeling to classify students into three different strategic developmental levels in solving fraction comparison problems and (b) accordingly provided…
Descriptors: Middle School Students, Fractions, Mathematics Achievement, Low Achievement