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Jean-Paul Fox – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2025
Popular item response theory (IRT) models are considered complex, mainly due to the inclusion of a random factor variable (latent variable). The random factor variable represents the incidental parameter problem since the number of parameters increases when including data of new persons. Therefore, IRT models require a specific estimation method…
Descriptors: Sample Size, Item Response Theory, Accuracy, Bayesian Statistics
Gonzalez, Oscar – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2023
When scores are used to make decisions about respondents, it is of interest to estimate classification accuracy (CA), the probability of making a correct decision, and classification consistency (CC), the probability of making the same decision across two parallel administrations of the measure. Model-based estimates of CA and CC computed from the…
Descriptors: Classification, Accuracy, Intervals, Probability
A. M. Sadek; Fahad Al-Muhlaki – Measurement: Interdisciplinary Research and Perspectives, 2024
In this study, the accuracy of the artificial neural network (ANN) was assessed considering the uncertainties associated with the randomness of the data and the lack of learning. The Monte-Carlo algorithm was applied to simulate the randomness of the input variables and evaluate the output distribution. It has been shown that under certain…
Descriptors: Monte Carlo Methods, Accuracy, Artificial Intelligence, Guidelines
Batley, Prathiba Natesan; Hedges, Larry V. – Grantee Submission, 2021
Although statistical practices to evaluate intervention effects in SCEDs have gained prominence in the recent times, models are yet to incorporate and investigate all their analytic complexities. Most of these statistical models incorporate slopes and autocorrelations both of which contribute to trend in the data. The question that arises is…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Accuracy, Computation
Cornelis Potgieter; Xin Qiao; Akihito Kamata; Yusuf Kara – Grantee Submission, 2024
As part of the effort to develop an improved oral reading fluency (ORF) assessment system, Kara et al. (2020) estimated the ORF scores based on a latent variable psychometric model of accuracy and speed for ORF data via a fully Bayesian approach. This study further investigates likelihood-based estimators for the model-derived ORF scores,…
Descriptors: Oral Reading, Reading Fluency, Scores, Psychometrics
Cornelis Potgieter; Xin Qiao; Akihito Kamata; Yusuf Kara – Journal of Educational Measurement, 2024
As part of the effort to develop an improved oral reading fluency (ORF) assessment system, Kara et al. estimated the ORF scores based on a latent variable psychometric model of accuracy and speed for ORF data via a fully Bayesian approach. This study further investigates likelihood-based estimators for the model-derived ORF scores, including…
Descriptors: Oral Reading, Reading Fluency, Scores, Psychometrics
Robert B. Olsen; Larry L. Orr; Stephen H. Bell; Elizabeth Petraglia; Elena Badillo-Goicoechea; Atsushi Miyaoka; Elizabeth A. Stuart – Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2024
Multi-site randomized controlled trials (RCTs) provide unbiased estimates of the average impact in the study sample. However, their ability to accurately predict the impact for individual sites outside the study sample, to inform local policy decisions, is largely unknown. To extend prior research on this question, we analyzed six multi-site RCTs…
Descriptors: Accuracy, Predictor Variables, Randomized Controlled Trials, Regression (Statistics)
Cerullo, Enzo; Jones, Hayley E.; Carter, Olivia; Quinn, Terry J.; Cooper, Nicola J.; Sutton, Alex J. – Research Synthesis Methods, 2022
Standard methods for the meta-analysis of medical tests, without assuming a gold standard, are limited to dichotomous data. Multivariate probit models are used to analyse correlated dichotomous data, and can be extended to model ordinal data. Within the context of an imperfect gold standard, they have previously been used for the analysis of…
Descriptors: Meta Analysis, Test Format, Medicine, Standards
Shu, Tian; Luo, Guanzhong; Luo, Zhaosheng; Yu, Xiaofeng; Guo, Xiaojun; Li, Yujun – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2023
Cognitive diagnosis models (CDMs) are the statistical framework for cognitive diagnostic assessment in education and psychology. They generally assume that subjects' latent attributes are dichotomous--mastery or nonmastery, which seems quite deterministic. As an alternative to dichotomous attribute mastery, attention is drawn to the use of a…
Descriptors: Cognitive Measurement, Models, Diagnostic Tests, Accuracy
Kaplan, David; Chen, Jianschen; Yavuz, Sinan; Lyu, Weicong – Grantee Submission, 2022
The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate and evaluate the use of "Bayesian dynamic borrowing"(Viele et al, in Pharm Stat 13:41-54, 2014) as a means of systematically utilizing historical information with specific applications to large-scale educational assessments. Dynamic borrowing via Bayesian hierarchical models is a special case…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Prediction, Accuracy
Mead, Alan D.; Zhou, Chenxuan – Journal of Applied Testing Technology, 2022
This study fit a Naïve Bayesian classifier to the words of exam items to predict the Bloom's taxonomy level of the items. We addressed five research questions, showing that reasonably good prediction of Bloom's level was possible, but accuracy varies across levels. In our study, performance for Level 2 was poor (Level 2 items were misclassified…
Descriptors: Artificial Intelligence, Prediction, Taxonomy, Natural Language Processing
Myungsoo Yoo – ProQuest LLC, 2024
Spatio-temporal processes are ubiquitous and prevalent across disciplines. Understanding the mechanisms underlying processes and integrating this information into models is of great interest, as it can improve forecasting accuracy and align with scientific motivation. Examples of such models include Partial Differential Equation (PDE) Models or…
Descriptors: Physics, Teaching Methods, Spatial Ability, Accuracy
Huang, Hung-Yu – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2023
The forced-choice (FC) item formats used for noncognitive tests typically develop a set of response options that measure different traits and instruct respondents to make judgments among these options in terms of their preference to control the response biases that are commonly observed in normative tests. Diagnostic classification models (DCMs)…
Descriptors: Test Items, Classification, Bayesian Statistics, Decision Making
Kukkar, Ashima; Mohana, Rajni; Sharma, Aman; Nayyar, Anand – Education and Information Technologies, 2023
Predicting student performance is crucial in higher education, as it facilitates course selection and the development of appropriate future study plans. The process of supporting the instructors and supervisors in monitoring students in order to upkeep them and combine training programs to get the best outcomes. It decreases the official warning…
Descriptors: Academic Achievement, Mental Health, Well Being, Interaction
Lozano, José H.; Revuelta, Javier – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2023
The present paper introduces a general multidimensional model to measure individual differences in learning within a single administration of a test. Learning is assumed to result from practicing the operations involved in solving the items. The model accounts for the possibility that the ability to learn may manifest differently for correct and…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Learning Processes, Test Items, Item Analysis