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Li, Tenglong; Frank, Ken – Sociological Methods & Research, 2022
The internal validity of observational study is often subject to debate. In this study, we define the counterfactuals as the unobserved sample and intend to quantify its relationship with the null hypothesis statistical testing (NHST). We propose the probability of a robust inference for internal validity, that is, the PIV, as a robustness index…
Descriptors: Probability, Inferences, Validity, Correlation
Shi, Dingjing; Tong, Xin – Sociological Methods & Research, 2022
This study proposes a two-stage causal modeling with instrumental variables to mitigate selection bias, provide correct standard error estimates, and address nonnormal and missing data issues simultaneously. Bayesian methods are used for model estimation. Robust methods with Student's "t" distributions are used to account for nonnormal…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Monte Carlo Methods, Computer Software, Causal Models
T. S. Kutaka; P. Chernyavskiy; J. Sarama; D. H. Clements – Grantee Submission, 2023
Investigators often rely on the proportion of correct responses in an assessment when describing the impact of early mathematics interventions on child outcomes. Here, we propose a shift in focus to the relative sophistication of problem-solving strategies and offer methodological guidance to researchers interested in working with strategies. We…
Descriptors: Learning Trajectories, Problem Solving, Mathematics Instruction, Early Intervention
Shen, Ting; Konstantopoulos, Spyros – Journal of Experimental Education, 2022
Large-scale education data are collected via complex sampling designs that incorporate clustering and unequal probability of selection. Multilevel models are often utilized to account for clustering effects. The probability weighted approach (PWA) has been frequently used to deal with the unequal probability of selection. In this study, we examine…
Descriptors: Data Collection, Educational Research, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Bayesian Statistics
Using Bayesian Meta-Analysis to Explore the Components of Early Literacy Interventions. WWC 2023-008
Walsh, Elias; Deke, John; Robles, Silvia; Streke, Andrei; Thal, Dan – What Works Clearinghouse, 2023
The What Works Clearinghouse (WWC) released a report that applies two methodological approaches new to the WWC that together aim to improve researchers' understanding of how early literacy interventions may work to improve outcomes for students in grades K-3. First, this report pilots a new taxonomy developed by early literacy experts and…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Meta Analysis, Early Intervention, Literacy
Thomas, Sarah; Eichas, Kyle; Eninger, Lilianne; Ferrer-Wreder, Laura – Scandinavian Journal of Educational Research, 2021
This cross-sectional study established the psychometric properties and factor structure of the Preschool and Kindergarten Behavior Scales (PKBS) and an index of empathy in a sample of Swedish four to six year olds (N = 115). Using Bayesian structural equation modeling, we found that a five-factor PKBS and one-factor empathy model provided good fit…
Descriptors: Psychometrics, Swedish, Foreign Countries, Test Construction
Forthmann, Boris; Förster, Natalie; Souvignier, Elmar – Journal of Intelligence, 2022
Monitoring the progress of student learning is an important part of teachers' data-based decision making. One such tool that can equip teachers with information about students' learning progress throughout the school year and thus facilitate monitoring and instructional decision making is learning progress assessments. In practical contexts and…
Descriptors: Learning Processes, Progress Monitoring, Robustness (Statistics), Bayesian Statistics
Pavel Chernyavskiy; Traci S. Kutaka; Carson Keeter; Julie Sarama; Douglas Clements – Grantee Submission, 2024
When researchers code behavior that is undetectable or falls outside of the validated ordinal scale, the resultant outcomes often suffer from informative missingness. Incorrect analysis of such data can lead to biased arguments around efficacy and effectiveness in the context of experimental and intervention research. Here, we detail a new…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Mathematics Instruction, Learning Trajectories, Item Response Theory
Carly Oddleifson; Stephen Kilgus; David A. Klingbeil; Alexander D. Latham; Jessica S. Kim; Ishan N. Vengurlekar – Grantee Submission, 2025
The purpose of this study was to conduct a conceptual replication of Pendergast et al.'s (2018) study that examined the diagnostic accuracy of a nomogram procedure, also known as a naive Bayesian approach. The specific naive Bayesian approach combined academic and social-emotional and behavioral (SEB) screening data to predict student performance…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Accuracy, Social Emotional Learning, Diagnostic Tests
Solomon, Benjamin G.; Forsberg, Ole J.; Thomas, Monelle; Penna, Brittney; Weisheit, Katherine M. – Assessment for Effective Intervention, 2022
Bayesian regression has emerged as a viable alternative for the estimation of curriculum-based measurement (CBM) growth slopes. Preliminary findings suggest such methods may yield improved efficiency relative to other linear estimators and can be embedded into data management programs for high-frequency use. However, additional research is needed,…
Descriptors: Oral Reading, Reading Fluency, Bayesian Statistics, Accuracy
Xing, Wanli; Li, Chenglu; Chen, Guanhua; Huang, Xudong; Chao, Jie; Massicotte, Joyce; Xie, Charles – Journal of Educational Computing Research, 2021
Integrating engineering design into K-12 curricula is increasingly important as engineering has been incorporated into many STEM education standards. However, the ill-structured and open-ended nature of engineering design makes it difficult for an instructor to keep track of the design processes of all students simultaneously and provide…
Descriptors: Engineering Education, Design, Feedback (Response), Student Evaluation
Kim, Dan; Opfer, John E. – Developmental Psychology, 2017
Representations of numerical value have been assessed by using bounded (e.g., 0-1,000) and unbounded (e.g., 0-?) number-line tasks, with considerable debate regarding whether 1 or both tasks elicit unique cognitive strategies (e.g., addition or subtraction) and require unique cognitive models. To test this, we examined how well a mixed log-linear…
Descriptors: Computation, Numbers, Children, Cognitive Development
Choi, Kilchan; Kim, Jinok – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2019
This article proposes a latent variable regression four-level hierarchical model (LVR-HM4) that uses a fully Bayesian approach. Using multisite multiple-cohort longitudinal data, for example, annual assessment scores over grades for students who are nested within cohorts within schools, the LVR-HM4 attempts to simultaneously model two types of…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Longitudinal Studies, Cohort Analysis
Cummings, Kelli D.; Stoolmiller, Michael L.; Baker, Scott K.; Fien, Hank; Kame'enui, Edward J. – Reading and Writing: An Interdisciplinary Journal, 2015
We present a method for data-based decision making at the school level using student achievement data. We demonstrate the potential of a national assessment database [i.e., the University of Oregon DIBELS Data System (DDS)] to provide comparative levels of school-level data on average student achievement gains. Through the DDS as a data source,…
Descriptors: Academic Achievement, Formative Evaluation, Achievement Gains, Bayesian Statistics
Bassok, Daphna; Latham, Scott – Educational Researcher, 2017
Private and public investments in early childhood education have expanded significantly in recent years. Despite this heightened investment, we have little empirical evidence on whether children today enter school with different skills than they did in the late nineties. Using two large, nationally representative data sets, this article documents…
Descriptors: Kindergarten, Early Childhood Education, Literacy, Mathematics Skills
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