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Theresa Büchter; Andreas Eichler; Katharina Böcherer-Linder; Markus Vogel; Karin Binder; Stefan Krauss; Nicole Steib – Educational Studies in Mathematics, 2024
Previous studies on Bayesian situations, in which probabilistic information is used to update the probability of a hypothesis, have often focused on the calculation of a posterior probability. We argue that for an in-depth understanding of Bayesian situations, it is (apart from mere calculation) also necessary to be able to evaluate the effect of…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Logical Thinking, Elementary School Teachers, Secondary School Teachers
Rehab AlHakmani; Yanyan Sheng – Large-scale Assessments in Education, 2024
The focus of this study is to use the mixture item response theory (MixIRT) model while implementing the no-U-turn sampler as a technique for investigating the presence of latent classes (i.e., subpopulations) among eighth-grade students who were administered TIMSS 2019 mathematics subtest in paper format from the gulf cooperation council (GCC)…
Descriptors: International Assessment, Item Response Theory, Grade 8, Middle School Students
Erin W. Post – ProQuest LLC, 2024
Multivariate count data is ubiquitous in many areas of research including the physical, biological, and social sciences. These data are traditionally modeled with the Dirichlet Multinomial distribution (DM). A new, more flexible Dirichlet-Tree Multinomial (DTM) model is gaining in popularity. Here, we consider Bayesian DTM regression models. Our…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Multivariate Analysis, Statistical Distributions, Bayesian Statistics
Mingya Huang; David Kaplan – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2025
The issue of model uncertainty has been gaining interest in education and the social sciences community over the years, and the dominant methods for handling model uncertainty are based on Bayesian inference, particularly, Bayesian model averaging. However, Bayesian model averaging assumes that the true data-generating model is within the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Statistical Inference, Predictor Variables
Kyosuke Takami; Brendan Flanagan; Yiling Dai; Hiroaki Ogata – International Journal of Distance Education Technologies, 2024
Explainable recommendation, which provides an explanation about why a quiz is recommended, helps to improve transparency, persuasiveness, and trustworthiness. However, little research examined the effectiveness of the explainable recommender, especially on academic performance. To survey its effectiveness, the authors evaluate the math academic…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Epistemology, Mathematics Achievement, Artificial Intelligence
Hasan Aykut Karaboga; Ibrahim Demir – International Journal of Assessment Tools in Education, 2023
Bayesian Networks (BNs) are probabilistic graphical statistical models that have been widely used in many fields over the last decade. This method, which can also be used for educational data mining (EDM) purposes, is a fairly new method in education literature. This study models students' science success using the BN approach. Science is one of…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Science Achievement, Achievement Tests, International Assessment
Hsu, Chia-Ling; Chen, Yi-Hsin; Wu, Yi-Jhen – Practical Assessment, Research & Evaluation, 2023
Correct specifications of hierarchical attribute structures in analyses using diagnostic classification models (DCMs) are pivotal because misspecifications can lead to biased parameter estimations and inaccurate classification profiles. This research is aimed to demonstrate DCM analyses with various hierarchical attribute structures via Bayesian…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Computation, International Assessment, Achievement Tests
Kaplan, David; Chen, Jianschen; Yavuz, Sinan; Lyu, Weicong – Grantee Submission, 2022
The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate and evaluate the use of "Bayesian dynamic borrowing"(Viele et al, in Pharm Stat 13:41-54, 2014) as a means of systematically utilizing historical information with specific applications to large-scale educational assessments. Dynamic borrowing via Bayesian hierarchical models is a special case…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Prediction, Accuracy
Min Qi; Xinyang Hu; Hualin Bi – Journal of Baltic Science Education, 2024
The redox reaction is a core concept of upper-secondary school chemistry curriculum. Accurate diagnosis of students' conceptual understanding of the redox reaction from a cognitive structure perspective is critical for enhancing their understanding of chemical concepts. This study utilized Bayesian networks to investigate the cognitive structures…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Cognitive Measurement, Diagnostic Tests, Cognitive Structures
Kaplan, David; Chen, Jianshen; Lyu, Weicong; Yavuz, Sinan – Large-scale Assessments in Education, 2023
The purpose of this paper is to extend and evaluate methods of "Bayesian historical borrowing" applied to longitudinal data with a focus on parameter recovery and predictive performance. Bayesian historical borrowing allows researchers to utilize information from previous data sources and to adjust the extent of borrowing based on the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Longitudinal Studies, Children, Surveys
David Kaplan; Jianshen Chen; Weicong Lyu; Sinan Yavuz – Grantee Submission, 2023
The purpose of this paper is to extend and evaluate methods of "Bayesian historical borrowing" applied to longitudinal data with a focus on parameter recovery and predictive performance. Bayesian historical borrowing allows researchers to utilize information from previous data sources and to adjust the extent of borrowing based on the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Longitudinal Studies, Children, Surveys
Wu, Lin-Jung; Chang, Kuo-En – Interactive Learning Environments, 2023
To achieve adaptive learning, a dynamic assessment system equipped with a cognitive diagnosis was developed for this study, which adopts a three-stage model of diagnosis-intervention-assessment. To examine how this system influenced spatial geometry learning, the study used a quasi-experimental method to investigate student learning outcomes…
Descriptors: Cognitive Measurement, Alternative Assessment, Spatial Ability, Geometry
Owen Henkel; Hannah Horne-Robinson; Maria Dyshel; Greg Thompson; Ralph Abboud; Nabil Al Nahin Ch; Baptiste Moreau-Pernet; Kirk Vanacore – Journal of Learning Analytics, 2025
This paper introduces AMMORE, a new dataset of 53,000 math open-response question-answer pairs from Rori, a mathematics learning platform used by middle and high school students in several African countries. Using this dataset, we conducted two experiments to evaluate the use of large language models (LLM) for grading particularly challenging…
Descriptors: Learning Analytics, Learning Management Systems, Mathematics Instruction, Middle School Students
Bayesian Adaptive Lasso for the Detection of Differential Item Functioning in Graded Response Models
Na Shan; Ping-Feng Xu – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2025
The detection of differential item functioning (DIF) is important in psychological and behavioral sciences. Standard DIF detection methods perform an item-by-item test iteratively, often assuming that all items except the one under investigation are DIF-free. This article proposes a Bayesian adaptive Lasso method to detect DIF in graded response…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Item Response Theory, Adolescents, Longitudinal Studies
Demir, Ibrahim; Sener, Ersin; Karaboga, Hasan Aykut; Basal, Ahmet – Participatory Educational Research, 2023
Classroom rules are a fundamental aspect of classroom management and ensuring compliance with established rules is crucial. Previous research has shown that students often pay little attention to the development of classroom rules. This quantitative study aims to investigate the expectations that students have concerning classroom rules. To this…
Descriptors: Classroom Techniques, Bayesian Statistics, Compliance (Psychology), Secondary School Students