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David Kaplan; Kjorte Harra – OECD Publishing, 2023
This report aims to showcase the value of implementing a Bayesian framework to analyse and report results from international large-scale surveys and provide guidance to users who want to analyse the data using this approach. The motivation for this report stems from the recognition that Bayesian statistical inference is fast becoming a popular…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference, Data Analysis, Educational Research
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Shen, Ting; Konstantopoulos, Spyros – Journal of Experimental Education, 2022
Large-scale education data are collected via complex sampling designs that incorporate clustering and unequal probability of selection. Multilevel models are often utilized to account for clustering effects. The probability weighted approach (PWA) has been frequently used to deal with the unequal probability of selection. In this study, we examine…
Descriptors: Data Collection, Educational Research, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Bayesian Statistics
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Deke, John; Finucane, Mariel; Thal, Daniel – National Center for Education Evaluation and Regional Assistance, 2022
BASIE is a framework for interpreting impact estimates from evaluations. It is an alternative to null hypothesis significance testing. This guide walks researchers through the key steps of applying BASIE, including selecting prior evidence, reporting impact estimates, interpreting impact estimates, and conducting sensitivity analyses. The guide…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Educational Research, Data Interpretation, Hypothesis Testing
Gagnon-Bartsch, J. A.; Sales, A. C.; Wu, E.; Botelho, A. F.; Erickson, J. A.; Miratrix, L. W.; Heffernan, N. T. – Grantee Submission, 2019
Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) admit unconfounded design-based inference--randomization largely justifies the assumptions underlying statistical effect estimates--but often have limited sample sizes. However, researchers may have access to big observational data on covariates and outcomes from RCT non-participants. For example, data from A/B…
Descriptors: Randomized Controlled Trials, Educational Research, Prediction, Algorithms
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König, Christoph; van de Schoot, Rens – Educational Review, 2018
The ability of a scientific discipline to build cumulative knowledge depends on its predominant method of data analysis. A steady accumulation of knowledge requires approaches which allow researchers to consider results from comparable prior research. Bayesian statistics is especially relevant for establishing a cumulative scientific discipline,…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Educational Research, Educational Practices, Data Analysis
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Society for Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2017
Bayesian statistical methods have become more feasible to implement with advances in computing but are not commonly used in educational research. In contrast to frequentist approaches that take hypotheses (and the associated parameters) as fixed, Bayesian methods take data as fixed and hypotheses as random. This difference means that Bayesian…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Educational Research, Statistical Analysis, Decision Making
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Chung, Yeojin; Gelman, Andrew; Rabe-Hesketh, Sophia; Liu, Jingchen; Dorie, Vincent – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2015
When fitting hierarchical regression models, maximum likelihood (ML) estimation has computational (and, for some users, philosophical) advantages compared to full Bayesian inference, but when the number of groups is small, estimates of the covariance matrix (S) of group-level varying coefficients are often degenerate. One can do better, even from…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference
Chung, Yeojin; Gelman, Andrew; Rabe-Hesketh, Sophia; Liu, Jingchen; Dorie, Vincent – Grantee Submission, 2015
When fitting hierarchical regression models, maximum likelihood (ML) estimation has computational (and, for some users, philosophical) advantages compared to full Bayesian inference, but when the number of groups is small, estimates of the covariance matrix [sigma] of group-level varying coefficients are often degenerate. One can do better, even…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference
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Levy, Roy – Educational Psychologist, 2016
In this article, I provide a conceptually oriented overview of Bayesian approaches to statistical inference and contrast them with frequentist approaches that currently dominate conventional practice in educational research. The features and advantages of Bayesian approaches are illustrated with examples spanning several statistical modeling…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Educational Research, Innovation
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Jo, Booil; Stuart, Elizabeth A. – Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2012
The authors thank Dr. Lindsay Page for providing a nice illustration of the use of the principal stratification framework to define causal effects, and a Bayesian model for effect estimation. They hope that her well-written article will help expose education researchers to these concepts and methods, and move the field of mediation analysis in…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Educational Experiments, Educational Research, Observation
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Sun, Shuyan; Pan, Wei – Educational Psychology Review, 2011
From the perspectives of the philosophy of science and statistical inference, we discuss the challenges of making prescriptive statements in quantitative research articles. We first consider the prescriptive nature of educational research and argue that prescriptive statements are a necessity in educational research. The logic of deduction,…
Descriptors: Evidence, Educational Research, Logical Thinking, Bayesian Statistics
Kaplan, David – Society for Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2010
In recent years, attention in the education community has focused on the need for evidenced-based research, particularly educational policies and interventions that rest on "scientifically based research". The emphasis on scientifically based research in education has led to a corresponding increase in studies designed to provide strong warrants…
Descriptors: Evidence, Educational Research, Educational Policy, Models